Teams coming off big upset wins clash in the Week 5 college football schedule when the Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-1) travel to take on the No. 25 Kansas State Wildcats (3-1). The Wildcats stunned Oklahoma as 13.5-point favorites in Week 4. The Red Raiders took down Texas as 7-point underdogs. Both teams will try to avoid a letdown and pick up another important Big 12 victory.
Kickoff in Manhattan, Kan., is set for noon ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Wildcats as 7.5-point home favorites in the latest Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds. The over/under for total points is set at 56.5. Before locking in any Texas Tech vs. Kansas State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Kansas State vs. Texas Tech. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Texas Tech vs. Kansas State:
- Kansas State vs. Texas Tech spread: Kansas State -7.5
- Kansas State vs. Texas Tech over/under: 56.5 points
- Kansas State vs. Texas Tech picks: See picks here
Why Kansas State can cover
The Wildcats were largely written off after falling to Tulane on Sept. 17, but their road win over Oklahoma has flipped the narrative. KSU has a lot of talent in the backfield with former Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez leading the charge. His passing numbers have been mediocre, but he's doing a lot of damage on the ground. He's rushed for 298 yards and six touchdowns.
That's keeping defenders honest so they can't key in on running back Deuce Vaughn. He's one of the most explosive backs in the country and he's already piled up 468 yards and a couple scores on the ground. He's also the team's second-leading receiver with 12 catches.
Why Texas Tech can cover
This is a potential trap game for Kansas State following the program's biggest win in recent years, especially since the Wildcats are facing a team that they have beat six straight times. They lost their most recent home game to Tulane two weeks ago, despite being 13.5-point favorites in that game. Martinez was held to 150 passing yards or less in his first three games of the season, which will not be enough to keep pace with Texas Tech.
The Red Raiders have already knocked off a pair of Top 25 teams this season, including last week's 37-34 win against then-No. 22 Texas in overtime. Sophomore quarterback Donovan Smith threw for 331 yards and two touchdowns in that victory, while running back SaRodorick Thompson rushed for 70 yards and a score. Texas Tech has covered the spread in four of its last six games.
How to make Kansas State vs. Texas Tech picks
The model has simulated Texas Tech vs. Kansas State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Kansas State vs. Texas Tech? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Texas Tech vs. Kansas State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.