The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will look to snap a three-game road losing streak when they battle the Liberty Flames in a Conference USA matchup on Tuesday night. The Blue Raiders (2-5, 1-2 C-USA) have struggled on the road in 2023, averaging just 12 points per game away from home. They also have a turnover ratio of minus-four on the road. The Flames (6-0, 4-0 C-USA), who are averaging 253.5 rushing yards per game this season, rank second in FBS rushing, behind Air Force's 329.8. Liberty is one of four teams in FBS that have three players with 275 or more yards rushing in 2023.
Kickoff from Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Va., is set for 7 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. Liberty is averaging 33 minutes, 49 seconds of possession per game, while MTSU averages 29:51. The Flames are favored by 14.5 points in the latest Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 56.5. Before making any Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Liberty vs. MTSU and identified its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for MTSU vs. Liberty:
- Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee spread: Liberty -14.5
- Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee over/under: 56.5 points
- Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee: Liberty -671, MTSU +475
- MTSU: The Blue Raiders have hit the team total under in three of their last four games
- LIB: The Flames have hit the team total under in five of their last seven games
- Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why Liberty can cover
Among the Flames' top rushers is sophomore Billy Lucas, who spent three seasons at Duquesne. In five games played, Lucas has carried 48 times for 276 yards (5.8 average) and two touchdowns. In a 38-6 win at Florida International on Sept. 23, he carried 11 times for 102 yards (9.3 average) and one touchdown. In parts of four collegiate seasons, Lucas has carried 435 times for 2,068 yards (4.8 average) and 15 touchdowns.
Helping lead the receiving corps is senior Treon Sibley. He has 16 receptions for 385 yards (24.1 average) and three touchdowns, including a long of 68 yards. Sibley has one 100-plus-yard receiving game in 2023, with three catches for 106 yards (35.3 average) in a 55-27 win at Buffalo on Sept. 16. He is coming off a three-catch, 65-yard and one-touchdown performance in last week's win at Jacksonville State. See which team to pick here.
Why Middle Tennessee can cover
Junior Holden Willis is among the team leaders on offense, with 27 receptions for 412 yards (15.3 average) and two touchdowns. He recorded four catches for 103 yards and a score in last week's 31-23 win over Louisiana Tech. It was his second 100-yard game in his last four games. It was also his fourth consecutive game with four or more receptions and 70 or more yards.
Also helping lead the receiving corps is Elijah Metcalf. The sophomore has a team-high 35 receptions for 409 yards (11.7 average) and four TDs, including a season-long 71-yarder against Jacksonville State on Oct. 4. He has scored three touchdowns over the last two weeks, including two against Jacksonville State. Metcalf had a season-high 11 catches for 95 yards and a score in a 31-23 loss to Colorado State on Sept. 23. See which team to pick here.
How to make MTSU vs. Liberty picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under the point total, predicting 53 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can see the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Liberty vs. MTSU, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of more than $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.
