Sun Belt Championship: Appalachian State vs. Louisiana odds, picks, predictions from model on 43-23 run

Louisiana-Lafayette visits Appalachian State on Saturday in the 2018 Sun Belt Championship game. Kickoff is at noon ET from Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. The 7-5 Cajuns claimed the West Division after finishing the regular season on a three-game win streak, while the Mountaineers took the East Division in an impressive 9-2 campaign. Appalachian State is a 16.5-point favorite and the Over-Under is 58 in the latest Appalachian State vs. Louisiana odds. Before you make any Appalachian State vs. Louisiana picks for the Sun Belt Championship, check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated point-spread picks.

The model made some huge calls on Rivalry Week, including nailing Ohio State's outright upset of Michigan as a 4.5-point underdog. And when it comes to all top-rated picks, the model has been red-hot, entering Championship Week on a blistering 43-23 run. Anybody who has followed it is way, way up.

Now the model has dialed in on Louisiana vs. Appalachian State and generated Sun Belt Championship Game picks. We can tell you the model is leaning to the Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over half of simulations. You can get that selection only at SportsLine. 

The model has factored in that the Mountaineers' offensive philosophy is run, run and run some more. They're averaging 222 rushing yards per game and four Mountaineers have rushed for at least 400 yards. Star running back Darrynton Evans is netting 6.5 yards per carry and has amassed 968 yards and eight scores. Quarterback Zac Thomas has been effective all season, tossing 18 TD passes, and he hasn't thrown a pick since October.

Appalachian State has covered 12 of its last 15 games and has a sizable homefield advantage.

But just because the Mountaineers can knock off opponents in variety of ways doesn't mean they'll cover the Sun Belt Championship spread, especially given what's at stake.

The Ragin' Cajuns also are capable of racking up points in a hurry. They average 33.7 points and 448 yards per game. Trey Ragas has rushed for 1,040 yards and scored 10 touchdowns, notching six 100-yard games, while Raymond Calais averages a stunning 9.4 yards per carry.

Quarterback Andre Nunez played hero last week against Louisiana-Monroe to propel his squad into the Sun Belt Championship Game 2018. He threw two touchdown passes and ran in another in the 31-28 win. Louisiana has covered seven of its last nine games, and the road team has covered four of the last five in this series.

So, which side of the Appalachian State vs. Louisiana spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to be all over Saturday, all from the computer model that has returned over $4,200 to $100 bettors, and find out. 

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