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USATSI

The No. 13 Kansas State Wildcats will try to build on one of the most impressive performances in school history when they face the No. 24 Texas Longhorns on Saturday night. Kansas State bounced back from a loss to then-No. 8 TCU with a 48-0 win over then-No. 9 Oklahoma State last week. Texas had its three-game winning streak snapped in a 41-34 loss to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. The Longhorns have won five straight meetings between these teams, including a 22-17 win as 3-point favorites last year.

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Longhorns are currently listed as 3-point favorites in the latest Kansas State vs. Texas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 54.5. Before entering any Texas vs. Kansas State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Kansas State vs. Texas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Texas vs. Kansas State:

  • Texas vs. Kansas State spread: Texas -3
  • Texas vs. Kansas State over/under: 54.5 points
  • Texas vs. Kansas State money line: Kansas State +122, Texas -145
  • Texas vs. Kansas State picks: See picks here

Why Kansas State can cover

Kansas State is riding a huge wave of momentum coming into this game after blowing out Oklahoma State in a 48-0 final last week. The Wildcats made history with that performance, as it was the largest shutout ever over a top-10 team by a team lower in the rankings. They were without starting quarterback Adrian Martinez due to a lower body injury, but he could return for this contest. Oklahoma State was tied for third in the FBS in points per game heading into that matchup, so the Wildcats will be confident against Texas.

The Longhorns had last week off after getting knocked off by the same Oklahoma State team that Kansas State destroyed. They have struggled to meet expectations in recent years at Kansas State, covering the spread just once in their last nine visits. Kansas State has covered the spread at a 6-2-1 clip in its last nine games overall, while Texas has failed to cover in five straight road games. 

Why Texas can cover

Kansas State may never play as well as it did against Oklahoma State again, and it might be feeling overconfident heading into this matchup. Meanwhile, the Longhorns have had time to reset after having last week off. They still have a great shot at competing for the Big 12 title game, giving them plenty of motivation heading into this game. 

Texas was dominant in its last trip to Kansas State, rolling to a 69-31 win against the Wildcats in 2020. Running back Bijan Robinson is among the nation's leaders with 920 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns, breaking the 100-yard mark in six straight games. He has racked up at least 130 rushing yards in each of his last three games, allowing Texas to control the tempo of those outings. The Longhorns have won five straight games against Kansas State and have covered the spread in six of their last nine games this season. 

How to make Kansas State vs. Texas picks

The model has simulated Texas vs. Kansas State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Kansas State vs. Texas? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas vs. Kansas State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.