Two teams off to sluggish starts square off Saturday afternoon when the Minnesota Twins host the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch from Target Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are -145 on the money line, meaning it would take a $145 bet on Minnesota to return $100.
Before you make any kind of pick on this interleague matchup for April 28, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is on a 9-3 run on MLB money-line selections. Anybody who has been following it is up big.
Now, the computer has simulated this matchup between the Reds and Twins 10,000 times and locked in money-line, Over-Under and run-line picks.
We can tell you the model likes the Over (9.5 runs) in 52 percent of simulations. And it also has identified one team as a strong value on the money line, which you can see only over at SportsLine.
The model knows that the Reds' pitching has been frightful. They have a 5.42 ERA -- second-worst in baseball. But the Twins, who were swept by the Rays and Yankees in the past 10 days, are hitting a mild .231 early on.
Cincinnati is 5-20 on the season and 2-11 away from home, while Minnesota is 8-12 with a 5-3 record at Target.
Taking the mound for Cincinnati will be Sal Romano, who's 1-2 with a 4.78 ERA. The model says he's projected to strike out four Twins in six innings of work. He'll face Jake Odorizzi, who's 1-2 with an 4.50 ERA. The model is predicting Odorizzi to strike out four Reds in five innings.
The Reds are 17-48 in their last 65 interleague games, while the Twins are 8-0 in their previous eight home contests against National League squads.
So which side should you be all over? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Reds-Twins money line you need to back, all from the computer model on a 9-3 run on money-line picks.
