sergio-perez-red-bull-cota-cbs-usatsi.jpg
USATSI

After setting a record with 15 grand prix wins last season to earn his second title in a row, Red Bull Racing's Max Verstappen is having an even more dominant season in 2023 with 13 wins in 16 races. Now he'll head to the 2023 Qatar Grand Prix with a third consecutive championship already in hand after clinching in the sprint race on Saturday. Verstappen won by over 19 seconds in Japan two weeks ago to help Red Bull seal its sixth-ever constructors' championship. 

Verstappen is the -400 favorite in the 2023 Qatar Grand Prix odds having won 22 of the last 27 races held in Formula 1. His Red Bull Racing teammate Sergio Perez and McLaren's Lando Norris are next on this week's Formula 1 odds board at 12-1. Before analyzing the 2023 Qatar Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2023 Qatar GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting nine NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory. 

The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It's also nailed all 13 of Verstappen's wins so far in the 2023 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2023 Formula 1 Qatar Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the complete 2023 Qatar Grand Prix leaderboard projection.

Top 2023 Formula 1 Qatar GP predictions

One surprise: The model is fading Red Bull's Sergio Perez even though he has won twice this season and is tied for second-favorite at +1200. Up until Carlos Sainz scored a victory in Singapore last month, Perez was the only driver besides Verstappen to take the checkered flag this season. However, it's been an inconsistent season for Perez and he's at risk of being chased down for second in the 2023 F1 standings.

Perez has failed to reach the podium in eight of his 16 starts despite Red Bull's superior equipment and he's really struggled of late, finishing eighth in Singapore and being retired in Japan two weeks ago. Perez finished fourth at the inaugural Qatar Grand Prix two years ago and the model is predicting that he fails to hit the podium again on Sunday. See who else the model is backing and fading at the 2023 Qatar Grand Prix right here.

How to make 2023 Qatar Grand Prix picks

The model is also targeting multiple longshots getting F1 odds of 20-1 or longer to make a surprising surge up the leaderboard. Anyone who backs them could hit it big. You can find out who they are, and see all of the model's F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.

So who wins the Qatar Grand Prix 2023, and which under-the-radar drivers make a stunning charge toward the front? Check out the latest 2023 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 Qatar Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that has already nailed all 13 of Verstappen's wins this season, and find out.

2023 Formula 1 Qatar Grand Prix odds, field, top contenders

See F1 Qatar Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.

Max Verstappen -400
Sergio Perez +1200
Lando Norris +1200
Oscar Piastri +2000
Charles Leclerc +2200
Carlos Sainz +2500
Lewis Hamilton +2500
George Russell +3300
Fernando Alonso +8000
Lance Stroll +40000
Esteban Ocon +50000
Pierre Gasly +50000
Liam Lawson +75000
Yuki Tsunoda +75000
Valtteri Bottas +100000
Guanyu Zhou +150000
Kevin Magnussen +150000
Nico Hulkenberg +150000
Logan Sargeant +200000