The Boston Celtics visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday afternoon in the second game on the 2021 NBA Christmas Day schedule. The reigning champion Bucks are 21-13 in advance of this holiday showcase, with the Celtics entering with a 16-16 record. Al Horford, Grant Williams, Enes Kanter Freedom and Josh Richardson are among the Celtics players in the NBA's health and safety protocols. Giannis Antetokounmpo has cleared protocols and has a great chance to return to the lineup for Milwaukee. 

Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a seven-point home favorite for this 2:30 p.m. ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 220.5 in the latest Celtics vs. Bucks odds. Before making any Bucks vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 46-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $1,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Bucks and locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Bucks vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -7
  • Celtics vs. Bucks over-under: 220.5 points
  • Celtics vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -280, Celtics +230
  • BOS: The Celtics are 9-7-1 against the spread in road games
  • MIL: The Bucks are 6-10 against the spread in home games
Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Celtics can cover

Milwaukee doesn't have many weaknesses, but the Bucks do have a few shortcomings that should help the Celtics. On offense, Milwaukee is making less than 76 percent of free-throw attempts, well below the NBA average. On defense, the Bucks are No. 25 in the NBA in blocked shots, and Milwaukee is third-worst in the league in 3-pointers allowed. Boston's offense has not been dominant this season, but the Celtics do rank in the top five in both free-throw attempts (21.5 per game) and free-throw accuracy (80.8 percent). 

Boston also commits a turnover on only 14.0 percent of offensive possessions, which is an outstanding mark in the area of ball security. The Celtics are also limiting opponents to only 107.3 points per 100 possessions on defense, and Boston is the third-best team in the NBA in limiting assists (21.7 allowed per game). Opponents are shooting only 44.2 percent against the Celtics, and Boston is above-average in defensive rebound rate (73.8 percent) when forcing a missed shot.

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee is very strong from a statistical standpoint, and Boston's weaknesses could provide advantages for the Bucks. The Celtics are in the bottom third of the NBA in field-goal percentage on offense, and Boston also struggles with assists, ranking near the bottom of the league. On the opposite end, Boston is just No. 24 in the NBA in free-throw attempts allowed, and the Bucks should be able to put pressure on the rim as a result.

Milwaukee is in the top 10 of the NBA in offensive and defensive rating, landing above the league average in 3-pointers (14.1 per game), turnover avoidance and offensive rebound rate. On defense, the Bucks are in the top six in both field goal percentage allowed and 3-point percentage allowed, and Milwaukee is allowing only 18.5 free throw attempts per game to opponents.

How to make Bucks vs. Celtics picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 208 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's NBA picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.