The Detroit Pistons welcome the Phoenix Suns for a Friday evening battle at Little Caesars Arena. Detroit will aim to stop a three-game losing skid and improve on a 1-7 record. Phoenix is flying high with a 6-2 record and a 3-1 mark on the road. Derrick Rose (knee) and Josh Jackson (ankle) are listed as probable for the Pistons, with lottery pick Killian Hayes (hip) ruled out.
Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Phoenix as an eight-point road favorite, up a point from the opening Suns vs. Pistons odds. The over-under for total points expected is set at 216, down 1.5 points from the opening line. Before locking in any Pistons vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 65-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Suns vs. Pistons spread: Suns -8
- Suns vs. Pistons over-under: 216 points
- Suns vs. Pistons money line: Suns -330, Pistons +270
- PHO: The Suns are 5-0 against the spread in non-division games
- DET: The Pistons are 4-4 against the spread this season
Why the Suns can cover
The Suns are a strongly above-average team on both offense and defense so far this season, and they match up well against the Pistons. Phoenix is a top-five team in offensive rating, scoring 1.15 points per possession, and Detroit has a bottom-tier defense, giving up 1.16 points per possession. The Pistons are dead-last in the league in effective field goal percentage allowed (59.4 percent), while the Suns are a top-five team in the same category offensively at 56.9 percent.
Phoenix takes care of the ball at a high level, committing a turnover on only 14.1 percent of possessions, and that should help to buoy its output. Defensively, the Suns are also a top-10 unit in both points allowed per possession and shooting efficiency allowed, with Phoenix pulling down 77.0 percent of defensive rebound opportunities and limiting opponents in second-chance points.
Why the Pistons can cover
The Pistons are in a period of transition and the early results haven't been fantastic. With that said, Detroit has a standout in Jerami Grant, who is averaging 23.0 points and 5.4 rebounds per game since signing in free agency. The Pistons are also a strong team in taking care of the ball, committing a turnover on only 13.4 percent of possessions, and Detroit is a top-10 team in offensive rebound rate at 27.2 percent.
Defensively, Detroit causes havoc to the tune of a 16.5 percent turnover rate, top-five in the NBA, and the Pistons are above-average on the defensive glass. Phoenix is a below-average offensive rebounding team, pulling down only 21.8 percent of its own misses, and the Pistons should be able to close possessions effectively when they force tough shots.
How to make Suns vs. Pistons picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with 11 players projected to score in double figures. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pistons vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Suns vs. Pistons spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.