The New Orleans Saints and Kansas City Chiefs will kick off their 2023 preseason schedule on Sunday. The Chiefs, who won Super Bowl 57, posted their seventh consecutive AFC West crown last season with a 14-3 record. The Saints, meanwhile, will try to improve on last year's 7-10 record, their first losing season since 2016. New Orleans placed third in the NFC South in 2022.
Kickoff from the Superdome is set for 1 p.m. ET. New Orleans is a two-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Saints odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 37.5. Before making any Saints vs. Chiefs picks or bets, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from proven SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Those selections formed the basis of his SportsLine NFL best bets article, which finished 36-25-1.
In addition, Hartstein has gone 44-29 on his last 73 against-the-spread or money-line NFL picks involving the Saints, returning $1,134. Anybody who has been following him is way up.
Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Chiefs vs. Saints and just locked in his NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL betting lines and trends for Saints vs. Chiefs:
- Chiefs vs. Saints spread: New Orleans -2
- Chiefs vs. Saints over-under: 37.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Saints money line: New Orleans -125, Kansas City +105
- KC: The Over is 11-3 in the Chiefs' last 14 road games
- NO: The Under is 4-1 in the Saints' last five home games
- Chiefs vs. Saints picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Saints can cover
New Orleans third-round draft pick Kendre Miller has impressed in camp and is expected to see extended action at running back. The 21-year-old from TCU has made the most of his reps in practice. He was a workhorse for the Horned Frogs last season, carrying 224 times for 1,399 yards (6.2 average) and 17 touchdowns. He also caught 16 passes for 116 yards.
Also expected to get a good look is 10-year veteran Derek Carr. He spent his first nine seasons as a member of the Raiders, including the last three in Las Vegas. In 142 career games, Carr has completed 3,201 of 4,958 passes (64.6 average) for 35,222 yards, 217 touchdowns with 99 interceptions. Last year, he posted an 86.3 rating, his lowest since posting a 76.6 his rookie year in 2014. See which team to pick here.
Why the Chiefs can cover
Kansas City will get a brief look at starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes before turning its attention to Blaine Gabbert. The 12-year veteran signed a free agent contract over the offseason after spending the last three seasons at Tampa Bay. In limited action, he played in 11 games for the Buccaneers, including one last season. In the one appearance, he completed 6 of 8 passes for 29 yards and a touchdown.
Wide receiver Rashee Rice, the team's second-round draft pick from SMU, is expected to get a chance to shine. He has been turning heads during camp, making several highlight-reel catches. He was dominant for the Mustangs in 2022, catching 96 passes for 1,355 yards (14.1 average) and 10 touchdowns, including a long of 75 yards. He played four seasons at SMU, catching 25 TD passes. See which team to pick here.
How to make Saints vs. Chiefs picks
Hartstein has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning Over the point total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.
Who wins Chiefs vs. Saints, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Hartstein's Saints vs. Chiefs picks, all from the red-hot expert who is 44-29 on New Orleans picks, and find out.
