The Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons will both be hoping to pick up a much-needed victory when they square off on Sunday afternoon. Chicago is riding a three-game losing skid and has lost six of its last seven games, while Atlanta has lost two straight and three of its last four. This is the first meeting between these teams since Chicago picked up a 30-26 win at Atlanta in 2020.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Atlanta is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Bears odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 48.5. Before entering any Bears vs. Falcons picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 153-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Bears. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Falcons vs. Bears:
- Falcons vs. Bears spread: Falcons -2.5
- Falcons vs. Bears over/under: 48.5 points
- Falcons vs. Bears money line: Atlanta -145, Chicago +122
- Falcons vs. Bears picks: See picks here
Why the Falcons can cover
Atlanta has lost three of its last four games, but it still has time to get back in the playoff hunt, especially with a winnable stretch of games that begins this week. The Falcons are only one game back of Tampa Bay in the NFC South, which has been the worst division in the NFL so far this year. Their rushing attack ranks fourth in the NFL, averaging 160.4 yards per game, and they are facing a Chicago offense that is going to be without top running back Khalil Herbert due to a hip injury.
The Falcons are also expected to have top defensive back A.J. Terrell back on the field after missing three games due to a hamstring injury. He is facing a Chicago passing attack that ranks last in the league, so the Falcons should have plenty of success as far as that is concerned. The Bears are 1-5 in their last six road games, while Atlanta has covered the spread in five of its last seven games against NFC opponents.
Why the Bears can cover
Chicago might not have any wins to show for it, but its offense has been one of the biggest stories in the NFL over the past month. The Bears have scored at least 29 points in three straight games and have the league's top rushing offense. Quarterback Justin Fields has rushed for a combined 325 yards in his last two games, which is the highest two-game total ever for a quarterback, breaking Lamar Jackson's record (268) from 2019.
The Bears became the first team in the Super Bowl era to run for at least 225 yards in five straight games, and they are facing an Atlanta defense that has allowed at least 20 points in four consecutive games. Fields has also connected on multiple touchdown passes in each of his last three games while throwing just one interception, so he is in excellent form coming into this game. Plus, Atlanta has only covered the spread three times in its last 10 home games.
How to make Bears vs. Falcons picks
The model has simulated Falcons vs. Bears 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bears vs. Falcons? And which side has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Falcons vs. Bears spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.
