Reaching the Round of 16 in the UEFA Champions League basically has been a given for Barcelona, which has reached the stage every season since 2004-05. The team has been quite successful, winning 14 of those 16 ties - including each of its last 13. Barcelona looks to continue the streak when it hosts PSG for the first leg of the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 on Tuesday. One of Barcelona's triumphs during its impressive streak came against PSG, which posted a 4-0 victory in the first leg of their 2016-17 showdown before falling 6-1 in the second leg.
Kickoff from Camp Nou in Barcelona is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. The latest Barcelona vs. PSG odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Barcelona as a -130 money line favorite, while the over-under for total goals scored is 3.5. Before locking in any PSG vs. Barcelona picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proprietary European soccer model.
Created by two Norwegians -- professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim -- the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine in 2019, the algorithm is up more than $8,900.
The model also made some strong calls in the final group stage of the Champions League, correctly predicting RB Leipzig (+150) defeating Manchester United, Sevilla (+135) knocking off Rennes and Liverpool playing to a draw (+275) with Midtjylland.
Now, the model has set its sights on Barcelona vs. PSG. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several odds and trends for PSG vs. Barcelona:
- Barcelona vs. PSG spread: Barcelona -0.5
- Barcelona vs. PSG over-under: 3.5 goals
- Barcelona vs. PSG money line: Barcelona -130, PSG +325
- BAR: Barcelona has totaled 13 goals in its last three victories
- PSG: Paris Saint-Germain has allowed just one goal while going 4-0 this month
Top Champions League predictions for Barcelona vs. PSG
The model is leaning under 3.5 goals in Tuesday's matchup between Barcelona and PSG. Barcelona eclipsed that total itself in three of its last four games, scoring five goals in two of those contests. Lionel Messi scored twice in a 5-1 victory over Alaves in a Spanish Primera Division match on Saturday, while Antoine Griezmann recorded two goals and two assists in Barcelona's 5-3 triumph over Granada on Feb. 3 in the Spanish Copa del Rey. Messi leads Barcelona with 19 goals in 28 matches and Griezmann has recorded 12 in 32 games.
However, PSG has been one of the stingiest teams on the planet and is quite capable of cooling down Barcelona's attack. The Parisians have allowed one goal over their last four matches and have given up two or more only five times in 37 outings since the beginning of August. PSG has three players with at least 13 goals but will be without one as Neymar (13) will miss Tuesday's clash with a groin injury, which is one of the reasons the model is leaning toward the under.
How to make Champions League picks for Barcelona vs PSG
The model has also locked in a strong money-line pick for PSG vs. Barcelona. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Barcelona vs. PSG? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the PSG vs. Barcelona money line has all the value, all from the proprietary European soccer model that's up more than $8,900.
