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It's a heavyweight matchup between teams desperate for points when Chelsea and Liverpool square off in an English Premier League showdown on Sunday at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea (12-6-2) is second in the Premier League table, 11 points behind leader Manchester City, after a disappointing 1-1 draw with Brighton on Wednesday. The Reds (12-5-2) are third, 12 points back, after a shocking 1-0 loss to Leicester on Tuesday. The teams met in August, playing to a 1-1 draw at Anfield, but they will both want to get the three points in this one.   

Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Liverpool as the slight +160 favorite (risk $100 to win $160) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Chelsea vs. Liverpool odds, with Chelsea the +165 underdog. A draw is listed at +245 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Liverpool vs. Chelsea picks or EPL predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Chelsea vs. Liverpool from every angle and revealed his coveted picks and EPL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his EPL picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Liverpool vs. Chelsea:

  • Chelsea vs. Liverpool: Liverpool -0.5 (+150)
  • Chelsea vs. Liverpool over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Chelsea vs. Liverpool money line: Chelsea +165, Liverpool +160, Draw +245
  • CHE: Chelsea is plus-15 in goal differential at home, outscoring foes 23-8.
  • LIV: Liverpool is plus-18 on the road, scoring 28 goals and conceding 10.

Why you should back Liverpool

The Reds lead the Premier league with 28 road goals, eight more than No. 2 Manchester City, and are second only to the Cityzens with 50 goals overall this season. They could cause a lot of trouble for a depleted Chelsea defense, with Mohamed Salah, Diogo Jota and Sadio Mane all playing at a high level. Salah leads the league in goals (15) and assists (nine), while Jota (10 goals) and Mane (seven) give defenses a lot to worry about. They all benefit from the passing of Trent Alexander-Arnold, who has eight assists and leads the league in shot-creating actions (88).   

Salah also leads the EPL in shots (74) and attempts on target (29) for a Liverpool team that averages more than 19 shots per game (first in EPL) and more than six on net (second). Liverpool has allowed just two more goals (16) than the Blues, and it holds the ball for 63.4 percent of games, compared to Chelsea's 59.5.

Why you should back Chelsea

The European champions will be desperate for points and will have the home fans behind them. They have the second-best defensive record in the league, allowing just 14 goals in 20 games, and have scored the third-most (43). Both of Liverpool's losses came in away games, while Chelsea has lost once at Stamford Bridge. The Blues are missing some defenders, notably Thiago Silva, Reece James and Ben Chilwell. Still, Antonio Rudiger, Cesar Azpilicueta and Trevoh Chalobah can provide solid protection in front of elite goalkeeper Edouard Mendy.

Mendy has eight clean sheets and is second in the league in save percentage at 82.8. The Blues could be without Kai Havertz and Timo Werner, but Mason Mount is the catalyst of the attack. Mount has seven goals and five assists for the Blues this season. 

How to make Chelsea vs. Liverpool picks

Green has analyzed Liverpool vs. Chelsea from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides three confident best bets, including a play that returns plus-money, and gives his full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his expert Premier League picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Liverpool vs. Chelsea? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Chelsea vs. Liverpool, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.