The Buffalo Bulls have gotten the better of the Ball State Cardinals lately, winning three straight meetings and six of their last seven. Buffalo won both matchups last season, defeating Ball State by 17 points at home before posting a 20-point victory on the road. The Bulls (8-6, 2-2 MAC) attempt to extend the winning streak to four games when they visit the Cardinals (7-8, 2-2) for a MAC clash on Friday.
Tipoff from Worthen Arena in Muncie, Ind. is set for 6 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Bulls are seven-point favorites in the latest Buffalo vs. Ball State odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 162. Before making any Ball State vs. Buffalo picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Buffalo vs. Ball State, and just revealed its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and trends for Ball State vs. Buffalo:
- Buffalo vs. Ball State spread: Bulls -7
- Buffalo vs. Ball State over-under: 162 points
- Buffalo vs. Ball State money line: Bulls -300, Cardinals +240
- BUFF: The Bulls are 10-3-1 against the spread in their last 14 road games
- BALL: The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four home contests
Why Buffalo can cover
The Bulls are just 6-10 against Ball State in Muncie but have won four of their last five visits. Four players scored in double figures in Buffalo's 78-58 victory there last campaign as it limited the Cardinals to 32.8 percent shooting. Josh Mballa was a force for the Bulls in that contest, recording a game-high 22 points while pulling down 16 rebounds for one of his nine double-doubles of the season.
The senior forward also was huge in Buffalo's 86-69 home triumph over Ball State in 2020-21, registering his first double-double of the campaign with 19 points and 19 rebounds while adding a season-high six assists. Mballa has recorded three double-doubles thus far in 2021-22 and leads the Bulls in rebounding (8.1), 21 steals and 11 blocks. Fellow seniors Jeenathan Williams (18.2 points) and Ronaldo Segu (16.4), Buffalo's top two scorers this season, averaged 15.5 and 17 points in the two victories over Ball State in 2020-21.
Why Ball State can cover
The Cardinals are just 16-19 all-time against Buffalo but have posted a 10-6 record in games played in Muncie. Payton Sparks came up with his best performance of the season in Tuesday's 84-74 loss at Akron, scoring a team-high 23 points while grabbing 10 rebounds for his first career double-double. The freshman center leads Ball State with an average of 6.5 boards per contest.
Luke Bumbalough recorded a season-low three points against Kent State on Jan. 4 but has followed that disappointing effort with 20 and 10 in his last two outings. The junior guard is the Cardinals' top scorer with an average of 12.7 points and also tops the team in assists (3.3). Senior forward Miryne Thomas is averaging 9.6 points and is coming off a 12-point performance in which he was a perfect 5-for-5 from the floor.
How to make Buffalo vs. Ball State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 154 points. It also says one side of the spread is hitting almost 60 percent of the time. You can only get the model's Ball State vs. Buffalo pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Ball State vs. Buffalo? And which side of the spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buffalo vs. Ball State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,200 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the last five-plus years, and find out.