The No. 14 Indiana Hoosiers aim to bounce back from a disappointing loss on Saturday. The Hoosiers dropped a mid-week game to Northwestern, and Indiana will look to right the ship with a home tilt against the Illinois Fighting Illini. Illinois is 17-8 overall and 8-6 against Big Ten opponents. Indiana is 18-8 overall and 9-6 in Big Ten play, including a road win at Illinois on Jan. 19.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Hoosiers as 5.5-point favorites for this noon ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 142 in the latest Illinois vs. Indiana odds. Before locking in any Indiana vs. Illinois picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 15 of the season 66-38 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning almost $1,700 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Illinois vs. Indiana and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for Indiana vs. Illinois:
- Illinois vs. Indiana spread: Indiana -5.5
- Illinois vs. Indiana over/under: 142 points
- Illinois vs. Indiana money line: Indiana -250, Illinois +205
- ILL: The Fighting Illini are 4-3 against the spread in road games
- IND: The Hoosiers are 10-4 against the spread in home games
- Illinois vs. Indiana picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Illinois can cover
Illinois is stellar on defense. Brad Underwood's team is in the top 30 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, and the Illini protect the rim at an elite level. Illinois is No. 3 in the country with 5.8 blocked shots per game and in the top 10 nationally in block rate (14.6%) and 2-point shooting allowed (44.0%). Illinois also holds opponents to 32.7% shooting from 3-point range, and secures 74% of defensive rebounds with a 19.2% turnover creation rate.
On offense, Illinois is in the top 15 nationally with 56.4% shooting from inside the arc, and veteran big man Matthew Mayer is averaging 14.4 points on 49.1% shooting in road games. Illinois also secures well over 33% of missed shots on the offensive glass, and is facing an Indiana defense that is strongly below-average in turnover creation rate (16.7%) and steal rate (8.0%) this season.
Why Indiana can cover
The Hoosiers are led by an All-American candidate in veteran big man Trayce Jackson-Davis. He is averaging 20.3 points and 11.3 rebounds per game this season, ranking in the top five nationally in rebounding, and Jackson-Davis shoots 57.1% from the field. In recent days, Jackson-Davis has been even better, averaging 23.3 points and 13.6 rebounds per game over the last 13 contests. He is the centerpiece of a top-tier offense, ranking near the top of the country in efficiency, and Indiana is in the top five nationally with 49.5% shooting from the field.
The Hoosiers are also stellar from 3-point range, making 37.8% of long-range attempts, and Indiana is sound in ball security with a 17.6% turnover rate. Indiana is also above-average in free throw creation and offensive rebound rate, maximizing the possession battle to boost efficiency.
How to make Illinois vs. Indiana picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, with only one player projected to score 15 points or more. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Illinois vs. Indiana? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Illinois vs. Indiana spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.