The surging Purdue Boilermakers can pull within a half-game of the lead in the Big Ten when they host the No. 7 Michigan Wolverines on Friday night in a key conference matchup at Mackey Arena. The Boilermakers (11-5, 6-3 in Big Ten) have won four straight games and are coming off a 67-65 win at No. 15 Ohio State. They enter the game in a tie for fourth in the conference, 1.5 games behind the Big Ten-leading Wolverines (12-1, 7-1). Meanwhile, Michigan bounced back from its first loss of the season with an 87-63 victory against Maryland on Tuesday.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Wolverines are favored by four-points in the latest Michigan vs. Purdue odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 139.5. Before making any Purdue vs. Michigan picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Michigan vs. Purdue spread: Wolverines -4
- Michigan vs. Purdue over-under: 139.5 points
- MICH: Hunter Dickinson ranks second in the country in field goal percentage (70.3)
- PUR: Trevion Williams is second in the Big Ten in rebounding (9.5)
Why Michigan can cover
Michigan has a dominant big man in Hunter Dickinson. The 7-foot-1, 255-pound freshman from famed DeMatha Catholic leads the Wolverines in scoring (15.7 points per game), rebounding (7.5) and blocks (1.5). He also leads the Big Ten and is second in the country in field goal percentage (70.3).
With Dickinson leading the way, Michigan has a highly efficient offense. The Wolverines lead the Big Ten and rank 10th in the country in field goal percentage (51.4). They have scored 80 points or more in 10 games and average 80.5 points per game, which is third in the Big Ten and 39th nationally. According to KenPom.com, they rank seventh in the country in offensive efficiency (116.8 points per 100 possessions).
Why Purdue can cover
Purdue has been a terrific home team this season. The Boilermakers are 6-0 at Mackey Arena and are scoring 76.8 points a game versus just 68.1 points in 10 games away from West Lafayette. They also are a better defensive team at home, giving up just 63.5 points per game versus 68.6 on the road and in neutral-site contests.
In addition, Purdue has been an excellent second half team during its winning streak. In its last four games, the Boilermakers have been outscored by 16 points in the first half but are outscoring opponents by 39 points in the second half. They are shooting 38.7 percent in the first half versus 48.1 percent after halftime.
How to make Michigan vs. Purdue picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting both teams to combine for 145 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that is hitting in 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Purdue vs. Michigan? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.