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The 17th-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks will try to ease the sting of consecutive losses by finally beating the Auburn Tigers on Saturday in the early SEC on CBS matchup. Arkansas (4-2) battled to the end in a thrilling 52-51 loss to Ole Miss last week, with the offense led by KJ Jefferson piling up 676 yards. And that followed a 37-0 setback to Georgia, now the nations' top-ranked team. Now, it's time to face Auburn (4-2), which has won five straight meetings but comes in off a 34-10 loss to that same Georgia team last Saturday. The Tigers also lost to Penn State 28-20 in their third game of the season.

Kickoff is set for noon ET at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville. The Razorbacks are 4.5-point favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Auburn vs. Arkansas odds, and the over-under for total points is set at 54. Before making any Arkansas vs. Auburn picks, you need to check out the college football predictions and analysis from the proven SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Auburn vs. Arkansas and released its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model's CFB picks. Here are several Week 7 CFB odds and betting lines for Arkansas vs. Auburn:  

  • Auburn vs. Arkansas: Razorbacks -4.5 
  • Auburn vs. Arkansas over-under: 54 points 
  • Auburn vs. Arkansas moneyline: Tigers +170, Razorbacks -200 
  • AUB: Auburn is 6-6 against the spread in SEC games since the start of last season 
  • ARK: Arkansas is 12-4 against the spread overall since the start of last season

Why the Razorbacks can cover

Arkansas is 5-1 against the spread this season and 4-0 ATS in its past four home games. The losses to Georgia and Ole Miss were tough, but they don't diminish the team's talent. Jefferson accounted for six TDs against the Rebels, throwing for 326 yards and rushing for 85. The Razorbacks rushed for 350 yards in the game, led by Raheim Sanders with 139. They are ninth in the nation in rushing offense (245.7 yards per game), with Trelon Smith (387 yards) joining Sanders (324) and Jefferson (320) in a potent ground attack that has produced 10 TDs.

Treylon Burks also is a big weapon for Jefferson, with the wideout putting up 519 yards (19th in FBS) on 29 receptions. The Razorbacks are strong on both sides of the ball, with the offense putting up 460.5 yards per game (26th in FBS) and the defense allowing 337.5 (39th). Tre Williams (four sacks) will create chaos around Bo Nix. The Auburn quarterback threw seven picks last season and has been known to be erratic. He is due for mistakes, and Jalen Catalon and Montaric Brown both have two interceptions. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings.  

Why the Tigers can cover

Auburn is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings, and it has scored at least 45 points in five of past eight matchups, topping 30 in all of them. The Razorbacks scored more than 30 just once in that span, in a 54-46 win in Fayetteville in 2015. The Tigers have a balanced offense led by Nix, who has passed for 1,196 yards and six TDs. He threw his first interception last week and has been sacked just six times. He has quality receivers to work with, including tight end John Samuel Shenker, who is averaging 13.5 yards on his 19 catches.

Wideouts Kobe Hudson and Demetris Robertson have combined for 40 receptions. Running backs Jarquez Hunter and Tank Bigsby have 923 yards and eight TDs between them. The Tigers are averaging 206.5 rushing yards per game (32nd in FBS) and should be able to find room against the 99th-ranked run defense in the nation (181.5). Auburn is scoring 35 points per game (31st in FBS) and allowing 19.2 (26th). A deep defensive front featuring Eku Leota (four sacks), Derick Hall (three) and T.D. Moultry (three) could make it a rough day for Jefferson.

How to make Auburn vs. Arkansas picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 50 points. It also has generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Arkansas vs. Auburn picks at SportsLine

So who wins Arkansas vs. Auburn? And which side of the spread is hitting almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Auburn vs. Arkansas spread to back on Saturday, all from the advanced model on a 19-7 run on its top-rated college football picks, and find out.