An SEC divisional crossover battle is on tap between the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats and the Mississippi State Bulldogs at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. MSU is 4-3 overall and 2-2 at home, while UK is 6-1 overall and 1-1 on the road. Kentucky's only loss this season came at No. 1 Georgia and the Wildcats are perfect against the spread this season.
The Wildcats are favored by one point in the latest Mississippi State vs. Kentucky odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is set at 47. Before entering any Kentucky vs. Mississippi State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Mississippi State vs. Kentucky spread: Kentucky -1
- Mississippi State vs. Kentucky over-under: 47 points
What you need to know about Mississippi State
When you finish with 377 more yards than your opponent like MSU did last Saturday, a favorable outcome is almost sure to follow. They Bulldogs had no problem blowing out Vanderbilt Commodores on the road to the tune of 45-6. The matchup was pretty much decided by the half, when the score had already reached 24-3.
Quarterback Will Rogers and receiver Makai Polk were among the main playmakers for MSU as the former passed for four TDs and 384 yards on 57 attempts and the latter snatched two receiving TDs. Mike Leach's Air Raid offense ranks third nationally with 374.4 passing yards per game.
What you need to know about Kentucky
Meanwhile, the Wildcats were off last week, but fell 30-13 to the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. They weren't able to do a lot offensively -- which has been the case for virtually all of Georgia's opponents this season -- but they did get scores from tight end Justin Rigg and receiver Wan'Dale Robinson.
Mark Stoops' squad is giving up just 19.3 points per game and should be a tough test for the pass-happy MSU offense. Offensively, Kentucky leans on running back Chris Rodriguez Jr., who has 775 yards and five scores on the ground this season. A pair of Big Ten transfers have had a big impact as well. Robinson, formerly at Nebraska, leads the team with a 49-566-5 receiving line. Former Penn State quarterback Will Levis has completed 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,326 yards, 13 touchdowns and six interceptions.
How to make Kentucky vs. Mississippi State picks
The model is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mississippi State vs. Kentucky? And which side of the spread hits more than 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks.