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The Arizona Diamondbacks will try to take the lead in the 2023 World Series when they host the Texas Rangers in Game 3 on Monday night. Arizona earned a split in the first two games at Texas, notching a 9-1 win in Game 2 after blowing a late lead in Game 1. The Diamondbacks were two outs away from winning the opener, but Corey Seager tied the game on a two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth inning. Arizona responded with a complete performance on Saturday night, cruising to the blowout victory with nine runs on 16 hits.

First pitch for Monday's game is scheduled for 8:03 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix. The latest Diamondbacks vs. Rangers odds from SportsLine consensus lists Texas as the -113 favorite while Arizona is the -107 underdog. The over/under for total runs scored is 9.5 with the pitching matchup featuring Brandon Pfaadt vs. Max Scherzer. Before making any Rangers vs. Diamondbacks picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the 2023 World Series 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Diamondbacks vs. Rangers and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's World Series picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Rangers vs. Diamondbacks:

  • Rangers vs. Diamondbacks money line: Rangers -113, Diamondbacks -107
  • Rangers vs. Diamondbacks over/under: 9.5 runs
  • Rangers vs. Diamondbacks run line: Rangers -1.5 (+140)
  • TEX: The Rangers are 48-41 in 2023 road games
  • AZ: The Diamondbacks are 46-39 in home games
  • Rangers vs. Diamondbacks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Rangers

Texas has significantly more experience on the mound in this game, as three-time Cy Young Award winner and eight-time All-Star Scherzer is getting the ball. He has thrown 140 innings across 29 playoff appearances, posting a 7-8 record with a 3.86 ERA. Scherzer will be opposed by the rookie right-hander Pfaadt, who is getting set for just the fifth postseason start of his career, which have all come this year.

Right fielder Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with 20 hits, eight home runs and 22 RBI this postseason, batting at a red-hot .339 clip. Seager, Josh Jung and Evan Carter are each batting over .300 as well, while the Diamondbacks only have two players batting .300 or better during the playoffs. Texas is riding an eight-game road winning streak, so it has not been intimidated by opposing fans this postseason. See which team to back here.

Why you should back the Diamondbacks

Arizona is flying high after a big win in Game 2, and the Diamondbacks have 14 runs scored and an .811 OPS in the World Series. The Diamondbacks also lead the league with 21 stolen bases in 14 playoff games, and Arizona has a friendly matchup against the Texas pitching staff. Scherzer has a 9.45 ERA in two playoff appearances, and Texas has a 4.82 ERA in the World Series. The Rangers also have only 45 strikeouts in 57.2 playoff innings, and the Diamondbacks finished in the top two of the NL in triples, stolen bases, and strikeout avoidance during the regular season. 

Arizona also appears to have a potent pitching situation for Game 3 behind Pfaadt and a bullpen that is performing well. Pfaadt has a 2.70 ERA in the playoffs, including a 1.86 ERA in the NLCS. Pfaadt has 22 strikeouts and only three walks in the postseason, and Arizona's bullpen maintains a 3.04 ERA in the postseason with opponents producing only a .225 batting average against the Diamondbacks. See which team to back here.

How to make Diamondbacks vs. Rangers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 9.1 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Game 3 of Rangers vs. Diamondbacks, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 93-74 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.