Dodgers vs. Reds odds: MLB picks, predictions for Clayton Kershaw's return from advanced model on 38-24 run
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Dodgers vs. Reds on Monday 10,000 times.
Shoulder inflammation kept Clayton Kershaw off the mound for the first three weeks of the season, but the three-time Cy Young Award winner is set to make his 2019 MLB debut on Monday night at 10:10 p.m. ET as the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds. Kershaw's return comes at an ideal time for the Dodgers since they've dropped five of their last six overall and have also seen starters Hyun-Jin Ryu and Rich Hill land on the injured list. Los Angeles is going off at -182 (risk $182 to win $100) in the last Dodgers vs. Reds odds, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7.5 in this Kershaw vs. Luis Castillo battle. Before locking in any Dodgers vs. Reds picks, listen to the top MLB predictions from SportsLine's proven computer model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks in multiple sports. It is off to a profitable start on its top-rated MLB picks this season, entering Week 4 on a strong 38-24 run. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in on Dodgers vs. Reds. We can tell you it's leaning over, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. That pick is only available at SportsLine.
The model has taken into account that Kershaw has owned the Reds historically. In fact, batters currently in the Reds' lineup have hit just .205 against him lifetime. Only Joey Votto has hit a home run off of him, and collectively they've struck out 21 times in 44 career plate appearances against him.
And while Los Angeles is coming off a tough stretch that featured five of six losses against NL contenders Milwaukee and St. Louis, the Dodgers' bats have shown enough in the early season to believe they'll help Kershaw out on Monday. They're hitting .284 as a team with a .374 on-base percentage. Cody Bellinger (.424/9/22) is the hottest hitter in the league, but Joc Pederson, Max Muncy and Enrique Hernandez all have at least four home runs as well.
But Kershaw's return doesn't guarantee that Los Angeles is the best value on the Dodgers vs. Reds money line.
That's because the Reds come into town winners of four of their last five and send a red-hot Luis Castillo to the mound. Castillo has given up just two earned runs in 19.2 innings pitched this season, good for a 0.92 ERA and a WHIP of 0.66, both of which rank second in the National League. He's also fifth in the league in strikeouts with 25.
He'll need Cincinnati's bats to help him out, however, since the Reds are hitting just .210 as a team. New additions Matt Kemp (.162) and Yasiel Puig (.163) have struggled at the plate, but this is a prime spot for them to get going as they take on the team that traded them away this offseason.
So who wins Reds vs. Dodgers? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Reds vs. Dodgers money line you should be all over Monday, all from the advanced model on a strong 38-24 run on top-rated MLB picks.
CBS Sports HQ Daily Newsletter
Get the best highlights and stories - yeah, just the good stuff handpicked by our team to start your day.
Thanks for signing up!
Keep an eye on your inbox for the latest sports news.
There was an error processing your subscription.
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Thursday's Pirates vs. Diamondbacks game 10,000...
Jacob Rhames buzzed him twice on Tuesday night, but Wednesday night belonged to Hoskins
Yep, the news in the Bronx continues to get worse
The right-hander picked up his first career win on Wednesday, but he's looked dominant all...
Here is everything you need to know about the day in baseball
It's always best to look both ways when leaving the dugout