The Washington Nationals aim to steal a series from the New York Mets on Thursday afternoon. After losing the series opener on Tuesday, the Nationals picked up a win on Wednesday night, setting the stage for a series-deciding tilt on getaway day. The Mets are 21-11 this season after a strong start. The Nationals are 11-21 and in search of momentum.

Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as the -160 money-line favorite (risk $160 to win $100) for this 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 8.5 in the latest Nationals vs. Mets odds. Before making any Mets vs. Nationals picks, you need to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a sizzling start to the 2022 season. It's on a 31-19 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through five weeks, returning almost $800 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Nationals, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Nationals vs. Mets:

  • Mets vs. Nationals money line: Mets -160, Nationals +140 
  • Mets vs. Nationals over-under: 8.5 runs 
  • Mets vs. Nationals run line: Mets -1.5 (+110)
  • NYM: The Mets are 12-5 in road games 
  • WASH: The Nationals are 3-12 in home games
Featured Game | Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

Why you should back the Mets

The Mets are off to a rousing start in 2022, as evidenced by stellar win-loss records both overall and on the road. New York has the most hits (276) in the National League, with top-five marks in runs scored (143) and batting average (.256). The Mets also lead the NL in on-base percentage (.334), and former Rookie of the Year Pete Alonso is coming off a 2021 season in which he blasted 37 home runs, raising his three-year average to 35.3 home runs per season. 

New York is facing a shaky starting pitcher in Washington's Joan Adon, who leads the NL with 18 walks and has a 6.99 ERA in six starts. In contrast, the Mets will deploy former All-Star Taijuan Walker, who has a 3.81 ERA since the start of the 2017 season. Walker is backed by one of the best bullpens in the NL this season, with top-three marks in both reliever ERA (3.24) and reliever strikeout rate (10.86 per 9 innings).

Why you should back the Nationals

Washington deploys arguably the best hitter in baseball in Juan Soto. The 23-year-old led the National League in walks and on-base percentage (.465) during the 2021 season, posting a .999 OPS with 29 home runs. That led Soto to the No. 2 finish in NL MVP voting, and he boasts a .392 on-base percentage and .479 slugging percentage this season. Soto also has seven home runs, including a blast against the Mets on Wednesday, and he has more walks than strikeouts in 2022. 

With Soto at the forefront, Washington is enjoying team-wide success on offense this season. The Nationals rank in the top three of the NL with 274 hits and a .256 batting average. Washington also strikes out on only 7.9 percent of plate appearances, a top-tier figure in the National League, and the Nationals are soundly above the league average in on-base percentage (.320) and doubles (53).

How to make Mets vs. Nationals picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 9.8 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Mets vs. Nationals? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Mets vs. Nationals you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.