The hottest team in the NBA takes the floor on Thursday in a high-profile home game. The Memphis Grizzlies are on a six-game winning streak, and they will put it on the line against the Milwaukee Bucks. Memphis is 18-9 overall and 12-2 at home this season, with Milwaukee bringing a 20-7 overall mark and a 7-4 record in road tilts. Jrue Holiday (illness) is out for the Bucks, while Desmond Bane (toe) and Danny Green (knee) are out for the Grizzlies.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Grizzlies as 2.5-point home favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 226.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Grizzlies odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Grizzlies vs. Bucks match-up, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 111-70 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns!
Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Grizzlies and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines and trends for Grizzlies vs. Bucks:
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies spread: Grizzlies -2.5
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies over/under: 226.5 points
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies money line: Grizzlies -135, Bucks +115
- MIL: The Bucks are 4-5-2 against the spread on the road
- MEM: The Grizzlies are 10-3-1 against the spread at home
- Bucks vs. Grizzles picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Bucks can cover
Giannis Antetokounmpo is one of the NBA's best players, and the former MVP is averaging 31.1 points, 11.3 rebounds, 5.3 assists while shooting 53% from the field. He is the centerpiece for the Bucks on both ends, and Milwaukee is in the top 10 in offensive rebound rate (29.8%) and second-chance points (14.8 per game). Milwaukee is also above-average in 3-pointers (13.0 per game), free throw attempts (23.7 per game), and assists (25.0 per game), with the Bucks excelling on defense.
Milwaukee leads the NBA in defensive efficiency, giving up fewer than 1.07 points per possession, and the Bucks are No. 1 in the league in field goal percentage allowed (44.5%) and assists allowed (21.4 per game). Milwaukee is in the top five in 2-point defense, defensive rebound rate, and points allowed in the paint, and the Bucks give up only 12.6 fast break points per contest.
Why the Grizzlies can cover
Memphis is a top-10 team on both ends of the floor. The Grizzlies are scoring 3.6 points per 100 possessions more than opponents this season, and Memphis leads the NBA in scoring 57.4 points in the paint per game. The Grizzlies land in the top five in offensive rebound rate (33.5%), second-chance points (17.0 per game), and fast break points (17.5 per game) this season, illustrating the team's athleticism and force.
Memphis is also above-average in both free throw creation (24.3 attempts per game) and assists (25.2 per game), with Milwaukee creating only 12.9 turnovers per contest on defense. The Grizzlies also hold opponents to 45.1% shooting and just 51.4% on 2-point attempts this season, and Memphis is in the top 10 of the NBA in blocked shots (5.8 per game), fast break points allowed (12.5 per game), and points allowed in the paint (47.6 per game).
How to make Grizzlies vs. Bucks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 219 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bucks vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
