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Michael McLoone / USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Hawks will look to continue their recent mastery of the Washington Wizards when they meet in a key Southeast Division matchup on Sunday. The Hawks (12-19), who are just 3-3 within the division and 8-15 against Eastern Conference foes, have won the last five games against Washington and 11 of the last 13. The Wizards (6-25), who are fifth in the division, have won just three of their last 14 games. Washington is 1-8 in the division and 4-20 within the Eastern Conference. De'Andre Hunter (knee) is out for Atlanta, while Tyus Jones (foot) is questionable for Washington.

The game from the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., will tip off at 3 p.m. ET. Atlanta is averaging 121.9 points per game, while Washington averages 116.4. The Hawks are 7-point favorites in the latest Wizards vs. Hawks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 253. Before making any Hawks vs. Wizards picks and NBA predictions, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 103-55 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Atlanta vs. Washington and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Wizards vs. Hawks:

  • Hawks vs. Wizards spread: Hawks -7
  • Hawks vs. Wizards over/under: 253 points
  • Hawks vs. Wizards money line: Atlanta -269, Washington +219
  • ATL: Has hit the game total over in 47 of its last 77 games (+15.10 Units)
  • WAS: Has hit the third quarter over in 51 of its last 75 games (+24.85 Units)
  • Hawks vs. Wizards picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Hawks can cover

Sixth-year veteran Trae Young continues to lead Atlanta, averaging 27.9 points, 11.2 assists, and three rebounds in 29 games. Young is averaging a career-best 1.38 steals per game, and against the Sacramento Kings on Friday, Young had a season-high four steals, to go along with 24 points, nine assists and three rebounds. He has buried at least three 3-pointers in a career-high nine consecutive games, the second-longest such streak in franchise history and the longest active streak in the NBA.

Ten-year veteran center Clint Capela has started all 30 games he has played in and is averaging a double-double with 12 points and 10.5 rebounds per game. He also averages 1.7 blocks and 1.2 assists. Capela is leading the league in offensive rebounds per game, averaging 4.9 per outing. He grabbed six offensive boards in Atlanta's 117-110 loss to the Kings on Friday, finishing with 12 points, 12 rebounds, three assists, and two blocks in 28 minutes of action. See which team to pick here.

Why the Wizards can cover

Small forward Kyle Kuzma leads the way for Washington. He is averaging 22.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists in 31.2 minutes of action. His 21 games with 20 or more points scored are the most in his career through the first 31 games of a season. He is one of 10 players in the NBA, and one of just five in the Eastern Conference, to average 22-plus points, six-plus rebounds and four-plus assists per game this season.

Also leading the way for the Wizards is shooting guard Jordan Poole, who has scored 10 or more points in nine of the past 10 games. Poole has scored in double figures in 27 of 30 appearances, including topping 20 points in eight of the last 18 games. He tied a career high with eight 3-pointers made on Dec. 18 at Phoenix. Poole has notched at least one steal in 18 games this season and is averaging a career-best 1.1 steals per game. For the year, he is averaging 17.4 points, 3.6 assists and 2.4 rebounds. See which team to pick here.

How to make Hawks vs. Wizards picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Wizards vs. Hawks, and which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 103-55 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.