The Golden State Warriors will try to build off their blowout victory in Game 3 when they face the Memphis Grizzlies at home on Monday night in the 2022 NBA playoffs. The Warriors can take a 3-1 lead in their Western Conference semifinal series if they hold serve as large favorites. Memphis could be without star guard Ja Morant, who is listed as doubtful due to a knee injury. Gary Payton II (elbow) and Andre Iguodala (neck) remain out for Golden State. 

Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET from the Chase Center in San Francisco. Golden State is listed as a 10-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds from Caesars Sportsbook, with the over-under set at 223. Before locking in any Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Grizzlies, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies spread: Golden State -10
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies over-under: 223 points
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies money line: Golden State -550, Memphis +400
  • GS: Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games
  • MEM: Grizzlies are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 Monday games
Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Why the Warriors can cover

Morant has averaged close to 40 points per game so far in this series, setting the NBA record for most points through the first three games of a Western Conference semifinal series. If Morant is unable to play on Monday, Memphis will have trouble keeping pace. Golden State got hot in Game 3, recording its second-highest playoff scoring output in franchise history.

Klay Thompson bounced back after a pair of poor outings, scoring 21 points in the 142-112 blowout. The Warriors shot 53 percent from 3-point range and 63 percent overall, which is an excellent sign moving forward. They have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games and their experienced roster is not going to let up in Game 4. 

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis went 20-5 without Morant this season, so the Grizzlies know they can still thrive without their star. Forward Jaren Jackson Jr. can dominate on the defensive end as a rim protector with fantastic length, footwork and anticipation. Jackson Jr. is very quick and agile for his size, allowing him to quickly change directions. The Michigan State product can also space the floor with his smooth jumper from the outside. He's putting up 14.6 points, 7.1 rebounds, 2.1 blocks and is shooting 42 percent from deep.

Forward Brandon Clarke is another high-energy force in the frontcourt. Clarke does all the dirty work for Memphis, including diving for loose balls or consistently fighting on the boards to create extra opportunities for his team. The Gonzaga product does his best work above the rim with alley-oops and putbacks. Clarke is putting up 13.9 points and 7.7 rebounds per game off the bench. 

How to make Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total. The model also says one side of the spread hits 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model's Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.