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The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies will go head-to-head in Game 6 of the Western Conference semifinals on Friday at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Golden State holds a 3-2 series lead and can advance in the 2022 NBA playoffs with a win, but is coming off an embarrassing 39-point loss in Game 5 in Memphis. The Grizzlies continue to fight hard despite Ja Morant being doubtful for the remainder of the postseason after suffering a knee injury in Game 3.

Tipoff is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on Friday night, and three of the five games in this series have been decided by five points or less, while the other two contests were 30+ point blowouts. However, Golden State is the eight-point favorite with the over-under listed at 218.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before locking in any Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Grizzlies, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies spread: Golden State -8
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies over-under: 218.5 points
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies money line: Golden State -380, Memphis +300
  • GSW: The Warriors are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 Friday games
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games as underdogs
Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors are coming off a 39-point loss in Game 5 where they were absolutely obliterated on the boards, with the Grizzlies winning that battle 55-37 and taking 19 more shots in the game (99-80). However, the silver lining in such a blowout was that nobody was on the floor for more than 25:21 in the game, and Golden State's aging lineup should be well-rested for Game 6 at home.

The Warriors went 31-10 at home during the regular season and haven't yet been beaten at home during the postseason, winning by an average margin of 14.6 points per game. Stephen Curry has had at least 30 points in all but one of those games and after a 14-point night on Wednesday, he'll be eager to put on a performance for the home crowd.

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Guard Tyus Jones has stepped up in the absence of Morant. Jones is a smart and instinctive playmaker in the backcourt. The Duke product has a knack for steals with a smooth-looking jumper. Jones has scored in double figures in back-to-back games for Memphis. In Game 5, he finished with 21 points, nine assists and two steals.

Forward Brandon Clarke is an athletic force in the frontcourt. Clarke consistently plays with high energy and does a lot of the dirty work. The Gonzaga product has a soft touch in the paint and soars to the rim for alley-oops and putbacks. He is putting up 12.7 points and 7.3 rebounds while shooting 66 percent from the field. 

How to make Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.