The New England Patriots are 4.5-point favorites in Super Bowl 52, down one point from where the line opened. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 48.5, up a half-point from where it opened.

Tom Brady is looking for Super Bowl ring No. 6, while the Eagles are gunning for their first title.

It's a David vs. Goliath clash of teams that didn't face each other this season, and R.J. White has a clear vision of how it plays out.

Up over $2,100 on his NFL picks, the stat geek is currently SportsLine's hottest analyst. White also finished in the top 1 percent in the Las Vegas SuperContest -- his second cash in three years in the world's most prestigious handicapping competition. Anyone who has followed his advice is up big.

Now, he has studied every angle of this battle. He has found statistical trends that are pointing him in one direction with confidence, and he's sharing it over at SportsLine.

White knows the Patriots haven't blown teams out in the Super Bowl. It took the biggest comeback in Super Bowl history last year for New England to beat Atlanta by six.

Before that, the Patriots defeated the Seahawks by four, lost to the Giants by four and three, and defeated the Eagles, Panthers, and Rams by a field goal.

Four-and-a-half-points is tied for the largest Super Bowl spread since 2008.

But just because the Patriots have been playing tight Super Bowls doesn't mean they can't cover against the Eagles.

White knows that if the Eagles are going to win, their defense is going to have to stymie the Patriots. That could be a tall order against a Pats team that was held under 20 points only once this season, and that was in a game they still won by five.

It's no surprise White is leaning Under, but he has identified a strong statistical trend that has him confidently backing one side. Find out what it is, and who to back, over at SportsLine.

So who is White backing in the 2018 Super Bowl? Visit SportsLine now to see who you should back and what statistical trend nobody is talking about will determine the point-spread winner of Eagles-Patriots, all from the man who finished in the top 1 percent of the nation's top handicapping tournament.