The Detroit Lions look to continue their ascent towards the top of the NFC as they host division rival, the Chicago Bears, on Sunday afternoon. The Lions (7-2) enter off a thrilling 41-38 victory at the Chargers, while the Bears (3-7) defeated the Panthers last Thursday night, 16-13. Detroit swept both meetings in 2022, 31-30 and 41-10. Detroit is 7-2 against the spread, while Chicago is 3-6-1 ATS in 2023.
Kickoff from Ford Field in Detroit is set for 1 p.m. ET. Detroit is a 8-point favorite in the Lions vs. Bears odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 48. Before making any Bears vs. Lions picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Lions and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 11 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Lions vs. Bears:
- Lions vs. Bears spread: Lions -8
- Lions vs. Bears over/under: 48 points
- Lions vs. Bears money line: Lions -415, Bears +321
- Lions vs. Bears picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Lions vs. Bears live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Bears can cover
Chicago welcomes back starting quarterback Justin Fields, who likely has much to prove in terms of his long term future with the franchise. Last season, Fields rushed for 1,143 yards and eight touchdowns, a far cry from his 2023 line of 237 yards and one touchdown on the ground. Backup QB Tyson Bagent went 2-2 in four starts replacing Fields, though the Bears' offense is more potent with its starter at the helm.
A bright spot for the Bears this season has been the play of wide receiver D.J. Moore, who has 52 catches for 793 yards and five touchdowns in 10 games. In Week 6, with Fields at QB, Moore caught eight passes for 230 yards and three touchdowns. Their chemistry should be on full display against a Lions secondary allowing 231.6 yards passing per game, which ranks in the bottom half of the league. See which team to pick here.
Why the Lions can cover
Will the Bears have any answer for Detroit's thunder and lightning rushing combination of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs? Though Chicago has been second best against the run this season (76.0 yards per game), shutting down Detroit's rushing attack seems like a tall task. In last week's victory over the Chargers, Montgomery and Gibbs combined for 26 rushes, 193 yards and three touchdowns on the ground, including a 75 yard scoring run by the veteran Montgomery.
Defenses have no answer of late for Detroit's top receiver, Amon-Ra St. Brown. He has topped the 100 yard receiving mark in each of the team's last four games, highlighted by an eight reception, 156 yard, one touchdown day against Los Angeles in Week 10. He now has surpassed the century mark in six of the eight games he's played in this season and stands less than 200 yards away from his second consecutive 1,000+ yard season. See which team to pick here.
How to make Bears vs. Lions picks
The model has simulated Chicago vs. Detroit 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's Lions vs. Bears pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Detroit vs. Chicago on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Bears vs. Lions spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 174-125 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
