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Both sides know they need a positive result in a 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup Group G match on Monday between Italy and Argentina at Eden Park. Group G also includes Sweden, the No. 3 team in FIFA's women's world rankings, so it is expected to be a battle for second between No. 16 Italy and 28th-ranked Argentina. South Africa, ranked 54th, is the underdog. Argentina managed two draws in France in 2019 but have never won a FIFA Women's World Cup match (0-2-7). Italy reached the quarterfinals of the 2019 FIFA Women's World Cup but lost to the Netherlands 2-0.

The match kicks off at 2 a.m. ET. The Italians are -165 favorites (risk $165 to win $100) in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Italy vs. Argentina odds, with Argentina +475 underdogs. A draw is priced at +255 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Argentina vs. Italy picks, make sure you check out the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup predictions from proven SportsLine soccer expert Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.45 units), FA Cup (+3.07) and EFL Cup (+3.64).

Now, Green has broken down the Italy vs. Argentina matchup from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Argentina vs. Italy:

  • Italy vs. Argentina spread: Italy -0.5 (-170)
  • Italy vs. Argentina over/under: 2.5 goals 
  • Italy vs. Argentina money line: Italy -165, Argentina +475, Draw +255 
  • ITA: The Italians have a 17-9 goal advantage in their past nine games (3-1-5) 
  • ARG: Argentina have outscored their past six opponents 15-1 (4-1-0) 
  • Italy vs. Argentina picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Italy

The Italians are building for the future but believe they have the talent to win now. Longtime captain Sara Gama and star midfielder Aurora Galli were excluded in favor of a youth movement. But the chosen players from Serie A teams like Juventus and Roma are skilled and should have a good rapport. Manuela Giugliano, Valentina Giacinti, Giada Greggi and Annamaria Serturini were all part of a Roma side that outscored its Serie A foes 43-12 in 18 games (16-0-2) to win its first league title.       

Giacinti scored 13 goals, while Greggi and Serturini combined for six goals and seven assists. Giugliano was the engine of the team, and her vision sets up the playmakers. Juventus teammates Cristiana Girelli and Barbara Bonansea also should contribute plenty to the Azzurre attack at this World Cup. Girelli is third on the nation's all-time scoring list. She has 46 goals in 78 appearances after scoring eight in 10 qualifying matches. Bonansea scored eight goals for Juve last season. See which team to pick here.        

Why you should back Argentina 

La Albiceleste have been trending in the right direction since a two-year period where they spent time on strike protesting for improved conditions and attention. The Argentine women lost all three games in their first two Women's World Cup appearances, then went 0-2-1 in 2019, with draws against Japan and Scotland. They rallied from 3-0 down against the Scots to forge a 3-3 draw. Now, they are intent on victory. Estefania Banini, named to the FIFA FIFPro Women's World XI in 2021, paces the attack.      

Banini had a goal and three assists in the 2022 Copa America as La Albiceleste finished third to qualify. Yamila Rodriguez led the tournament with six goals, and Florencia Bonsegundo had three. Argentina are 5-1-0 in six friendly matchups in 2023. That includes two victories against World Cup co-host New Zealand and a loss on penalties to Venezuela. See which team to pick here.

How to make Argentina vs. Italy picks

Green has broken down the Italy vs. Argentina match from every angle. He is leaning over on the goal total and has two confident best bets and his full breakdown of this FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 group match. He's only sharing his picks and analysis at SportsLine.

So, who wins Argentina vs. Italy in Monday's FIFA Women's World Cup match, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Italy vs. Argentina, all from the European soccer expert who knows the sport inside and out, and find out.