The fifth-ranked Baylor Bears will try to stay within striking distance of Kansas in the Big 12 when they square off against the West Virginia Mountaineers on Tuesday at WVU Coliseum. After losing back-to-back games for the first time since March 2019, the Bears (15-2, 3-2 Big 12) have dropped into a tie for third place in the Big 12 standings, a half-game behind the Jayhawks (14-2, 3-1). Baylor also fell from No. 1 in the country to No. 5. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers (13-3, 2-2) are in sixth place in the conference standings. They are coming off an 85-59 loss at No. 9 Kansas on Saturday.
Tipoff is set for 5 p.m. ET. The Bears are favored by six points in the latest Baylor vs. West Virginia odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 138.5 Before making any West Virginia vs. Baylor picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Baylor vs. WVU, and just revealed its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and trends for WVU vs. Baylor:
- Baylor vs. West Virginia spread: Bears -6
- Baylor vs. West Virginia over-under: 138.5 points
- Baylor vs. West Virginia money line: Bears -270, Mountaineers +220
- BAY: The Bears give up 118.7 points per 100 possessions, seventh in the country.
- WV: The Mountaineers average 5.4 blocks per game, which leads the Big 12.
Why Baylor can cover
Baylor is one of the best teams in the country at sharing the ball. The Bears average 17.6 assists per game, which leads the Big 12 and ranks 10th in the nation. James Akinjo, a transfer from Arizona, averages 5.7 assists a game, which is the best in the Big 12.
In addition, West Virginia's Taz Sherman has struggled since returning from COVID-19. The Mountaineers' leading scorer at 18.9 points per game and one of the best guards in the conference, Sherman has failed to score 15 points in each of the three games since returning to the lineup. His last game was his worst, missing eight of nine shots and all five 3-point attempts and scoring just five points in an 85-59 loss at Kansas.
Why West Virginia can cover
West Virginia faces a Baylor team that has suddenly gone cold. Over the two-game losing streak, the Bears are shooting just 36.0 percent from the field (41-of-114), including 30.8 percent on 3-pointers (16-of-52). Prior to the losing streak, they were shooting 49.5 percent from the field and 37.2 percent from beyond the arc.
In addition, the Mountaineers do an excellent job protecting the rim. West Virginia averages 5.4 blocks per game, which leads the Big 12 and ranks 23rd in the country. Three players -- Dimon Carrigan (1.1 blocks per game), Isaiah Cottrell (1.1) and Jalen Bridges (1.0) -- average at least one block per game.
How to make West Virginia vs. Baylor picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 142 points. It also says one side of the spread is hitting almost 60 percent of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Baylor vs. West Virginia? And which side of the spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,200 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the last five-plus years, and find out.