An in-state rivalry will take place in the Elite Eight on Sunday when No. 4 seed Duke (27-8) faces No. 11 seed NC State (25-14). The Wolfpack needed to win five games in five days to win the ACC Tournament and earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament field. They have capitalized on the opportunity, stringing together three wins to make the Elite Eight. Duke is seeking its 18th Final Four appearance in school history after knocking off No. 1 seed Houston in the Sweet 16.
Tipoff is set for 5:05 p.m. ET from American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Blue Devils are favored by 7 points in the latest Duke vs. NC State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 143. Before making any NC State vs. Duke picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the Sweet 16 round of the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 152-109 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. It also has a strong 32-21 (+890) record on top-rated spread picks this season, and it called 13 Sweet 16 teams this year. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. NC State and just locked in its March Madness predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college basketball odds and betting lines and trends for NC State vs. Duke:
- Duke vs. NC State spread: Duke -7
- Duke vs. NC State over/under: 143 points
- Duke vs. NC State money line: Duke -304, NC State +244
- DUKE: The Blue Devils are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games.
- NCST: The Wolfpack are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
- Duke vs. NC State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Duke can cover
Duke has rarely been under the radar heading into the NCAA Tournament, but that was the case this year. The Blue Devils are 11-3 straight up and against the spread in their last 14 games, including a 54-51 win over No. 1 seed Houston as 4.5-point underdogs on Friday. Sophomore center Kyle Filipowski had 16 points and nine rebounds against the Cougars, and Duke never trailed in the second half.
The Blue Devils crushed the Wolfpack in the lone regular-season meeting, as senior guard Jeremy Roach scored 21 points to lead his team to a 79-64 road win. They were caught off guard by NC State in the ACC Tournament, but they will be fully focused on Sunday's showdown. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack are getting set for their ninth game in the past 20 days, so fatigue could be an issue for them down the stretch. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why NC State can cover
NC State is on a remarkable postseason run, rattling off eight consecutive wins since the beginning of the ACC Tournament. The Wolfpack were underdogs in six of those games, including their 74-69 win over Duke as 11-point underdogs in the ACC Tournament semifinals. Their latest win came against No. 2 seed Marquette in the Sweet 16, as senior guard DJ Horne scored 19 points and grabbed five rebounds.
Senior forward DJ Burns Jr. was held to just four points, but he had seven assists and four rebounds to make his presence felt. He scored in double figures in the first seven games of the winning streak, posting a 24-point, 11-rebound double-double against Oakland in the second round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament. The Wolfpack have covered the spread in nine of their last 13 games against the Blue Devils. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Duke vs. NC State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 149 points. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.
So who wins NC State vs. Duke, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Duke vs. NC State spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 152-109 roll on its top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.
