The No. 12 seed Charleston Cougars and the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs link up in the first round of the 2023 NCAA Tournament on Thursday afternoon. The Cougars last made the Tournament in 2018, where they lost 62-58 to Auburn in the first round. Meanwhile, San Diego State has made the NCAA Tournament for three straight years. In 2022, the Aztecs fell to Creighton 72-69 in overtime during a first-round matchup.

Tipoff from Amway Center in Orlando is set for 3:10 p.m. ET. The Aztecs are 5-point favorites in the latest Charleston vs. San Diego State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 142. Before making any San Diego State vs. Charleston picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the 2023 NCAA Tournament 79-53 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,300 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on SDSU vs. Charleston and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the NCAA Tournament 2023. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Charleston vs. SDSU:

  • Charleston vs. San Diego State: Aztecs -5
  • Charleston vs. San Diego State over/under: 142 points
  • Charleston vs. San Diego State money line: Aztecs -230, Cougars +190
  • COFC: Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall
  • SDSU: Aztecs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record
  • Charleston vs. San Diego State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why San Diego State can cover

Senior guard Matt Bradley is an athletic and smooth scoring option. Bradley has the quickness and ball handles to attack the lane and score from the perimeter. The California native averages a team-high 12.9 points with 3.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. In his last outing against Utah State, he totaled 16 points and two boards.

Senior guard Darrion Trammell has been a solid playmaker with the ability to create his own offense. Trammell uses his speed and instincts to play well on both ends of the court. He logs 9.5 points, 3.3 assists and 1.3 steals per contest. On Feb. 25, Trammell finished with 18 points, three assists and two steals.

Why Charleston can cover 

Sophomore guard Reyne Smith provides the Cougars with a smooth shooting threat on the perimeter. Smith utilizes his range to be an asset from beyond the arc. The native of Tasmania puts up 10.9 points and 2.1 rebounds per contest. He has scored at least 12 points with four 3-pointers in three of his last six games. On March 6 against Towson, Smith tallied 20 points and two steals.

Senior guard Ryan Larson has been an agile and elusive difference-maker in the backcourt. Larson scans the floor with ease and likes to push the tempo. The Minnesota native leads the team in assists (4.1) and steals (1.6) with 10.6 points per game. On March 7 against UNC Wilmington, Larson had 23 points and four steals. 

How to make Charleston vs. San Diego State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 140 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine

So who wins San Diego State vs. Charleston? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.