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Two potentially potent teams from the same state face-off on Sunday in Knoxville. The No. 18 Tennessee Volunteers welcome the East Tennessee State Buccaneers to town for a non-conference battle. Tennessee is 1-0 after a dominant victory over UT-Martin in the team's 2021-22 season opener. ETSU is 0-1 following a narrow, two-point loss to Appalachian State in its opener on Friday. 

Tipoff is at noon ET in Knoxville, Tenn. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Volunteers as 16.5-point favorites at home, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 136 in the latest Tennessee vs. ETSU odds. Before making any ETSU vs. Tennessee picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Tennessee vs. ETSU and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for ETSU vs. Tennessee:

  • Tennessee vs. ETSU spread: Tennessee -16.5
  • Tennessee vs. ETSU over-under: 136 points
  • UT: The Volunteers are 14-14 against the spread in the last 28 games
  • ETSU: The Buccaneers are 13-11 against the spread in the last 24 games
Featured Game | Tennessee Volunteers vs. E. Tennessee State Buccaneers

Why Tennessee can cover

Tennessee showed its upside in a dominant season-opening win. Entering with a top-20 national ranking, the Volunteers throttled UT-Martin, grabbing 47.9 percent of missed shots along the way. Tennessee also shot 42.5 percent from 3-point distance in that contest and, on defense, the Volunteers blocked 25.7 percent of their opponent's shots. 

Freshman guard Kennedy Chandler was the individual standout of the game for Tennessee, producing 20 points and four assists in only 22 minutes of court time. Chandler was ranked as a consensus top-10 high school recruit in the country, and he projects as Tennessee's offensive engine. Beyond that, the Volunteers return a great deal of production from a group that was strong on both ends a season ago, headlined by a top-five defense in the country in adjusted efficiency.

Why ETSU can cover

ETSU is a strong mid-major program. The Buccaneers ranked as the No. 2 offense and the No. 3 defense in the Southern Conference a season ago. On offense, ETSU is very effective on the glass, securing 30.5 percent of missed shots, and the Buccaneers led the Southern Conference in that metric in 2020-21. ETSU also knocked down 34.9 percent from 3-point range, opening the door to positive variance. 

On defense, the Buccaneers led the Southern Conference with a steal rate of 11.2 percent, and ETSU forced a turnover on 19.8 percent of defensive possessions a season ago. 

How to make ETSU vs. Tennessee picks

The model is leaning over on the total. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in 70 percent of simulations. You can get the model's pick only at SportsLine
So who wins Tennessee vs. ETSU? And which side of the spread can you bank on in 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $2,200 on its college basketball picks the last four years, and find out.