2023 Fantasy Baseball: Top 150 rankings for Dynasty leagues, as determined by value rating system

Rankings for those who value the future as much as the present

The goal in a single-season draft is as straightforward as it gets: take whomever you think gives you the best chance of winning. But for the initial draft in a Dynasty startup, there are competing tensions.

Maybe you're content to scoop up all the aging stars sliding down draft boards in the hope of securing a quick championship. Maybe you're willing to sell out completely for prospects, forfeiting the present for a more sustainable future. But if you're like most people, you're aiming for the happy medium, hoping to field a consistent contender while avoiding the pain of a lengthy development period. 

If so, these rankings are for you. They aren't tailored to your league's particulars, of course (and you'll need to recognize if, say, keeper rules would change the calculation in yours), but they do weigh present value against future value to serve as a draft guide in a dynasty startup or a trade guide in a longstanding league.

To give you a little peek behind the curtain, I'm sharing with you the most rudimentary form of a rating system I use to develop these rankings. Specifically, I've assigned each player a score (1 being the lowest, 5 the highest) across three factors:

1. Present value: What a player is expected to be in 2023
   
2. Future value: What his peak looks like and how much peak he has left
   
3. Confidence rating: How confident I am in him meeting his present and future value

Add up each player's score, adjust for age and preference, and voila, rankings.

Top 150 for dynasty leagues

Rank	Player	Age (on 7/1)	Present	Future	Confidence
1	Julio Rodriguez SEA CF	22	5	5	5
2	Ronald Acuna ATL RF	25	5	5	4
3	Juan Soto SD RF	24	5	5	4
4	Yordan Alvarez HOU DH	26	5	5	4
5	Vladimir Guerrero TOR 1B	24	4	5	5
6	Kyle Tucker HOU RF	26	4	5	5
7	Rafael Devers BOS 3B	26	4	5	5
8	Fernando Tatis SD SS	24	4	5	4
9	Jose Ramirez CLE 3B	30	5	3	5
10	Trea Turner PHI SS	30	5	3	5
11	Bo Bichette TOR SS	25	4	5	4
12	Shohei Ohtani LAA DH	28	5	4	4
13	Sandy Alcantara MIA SP	27	5	5	3
14	Aaron Judge NYY CF	31	5	3	4
15	Mookie Betts LAD RF	30	5	3	4
16	Austin Riley ATL 3B	26	4	4	4
17	Michael Harris ATL CF	22	4	5	3
18	Bobby Witt KC SS	23	4	5	3
19	Manny Machado SD 3B	30	4	3	5
20	Pete Alonso NYM 1B	28	4	3	5
21	Ozzie Albies ATL 2B	26	4	4	4
22	Corbin Burnes MIL SP	28	5	4	3
23	Shane McClanahan TB SP	26	5	5	2
24	Freddie Freeman LAD 1B	33	4	2	5
25	Mike Trout LAA CF	31	4	3	4
26	Francisco Lindor NYM SS	29	4	3	4
27	Gerrit Cole NYY SP	32	5	2	4
28	Luis Robert CHW CF	25	4	5	2
29	Gunnar Henderson BAL 3B	22	3	5	3
30	Brandon Woodruff MIL SP	30	4	3	4
31	Emmanuel Clase CLE RP	25	4	4	3
32	Alek Manoah TOR SP	25	4	4	3
33	Spencer Strider ATL SP	24	4	5	2
34	Dylan Cease CHW SP	27	4	5	2
35	Shane Bieber CLE SP	28	4	4	3
36	Julio Urias LAD SP	26	4	4	3
37	Matt Olson ATL 1B	29	4	3	4
38	Corey Seager TEX SS	29	4	3	4
39	Daulton Varsho TOR RF	26	4	4	3
40	Max Fried ATL SP	29	4	3	4
41	Adley Rutschman BAL C	25	3	4	3
42	Oneil Cruz PIT SS	24	3	5	2
43	Wander Franco TB SS	22	3	4	3
44	Corbin Carroll ARI LF	22	3	5	2
45	Bryce Harper PHI DH	30	3	4	3
46	Jose Altuve HOU 2B	33	4	2	4
47	Nolan Arenado STL 3B	32	4	2	4
48	Kyle Schwarber PHI LF	30	4	3	3
49	Randy Arozarena TB LF	28	4	3	3
50	Cedric Mullins BAL CF	28	4	3	3
51	Edwin Diaz NYM RP	29	4	3	3
52	Aaron Nola PHI SP	30	4	3	3
53	Jazz Chisholm MIA 2B	25	3	5	2
54	Eloy Jimenez CHW DH	26	4	4	2
55	Josh Hader SD RP	29	4	3	3
56	Anthony Volpe NYY SS	22	2	5	3
57	Jordan Walker STL 3B	21	2	5	3
58	Grayson Rodriguez BAL RP	23	2	5	3
59	J.T. Realmuto PHI C	32	4	2	4
60	Dansby Swanson CHC SS	29	4	3	3
61	Will Smith LAD C	28	3	3	4
62	Zack Wheeler PHI SP	33	4	2	4
63	Jackson Chourio MIL CF	19	1	5	3
64	Elly De La Cruz CIN 3B	21	1	5	3
65	Jordan Lawlar ARI SS	21	1	4	4
66	Vinnie Pasquantino KC 1B	25	3	4	2
67	Zac Gallen ARI SP	27	3	4	2
68	Paul Goldschmidt STL 1B	35	4	1	4
69	Marcus Semien TEX 2B	32	4	2	3
70	Justin Verlander NYM SP	40	5	1	3
71	Max Scherzer NYM SP	38	5	1	3
72	Jacob deGrom TEX SP	35	5	2	2
73	Carlos Rodon NYY SP	30	4	3	2
74	Devin Williams MIL RP	28	4	3	2
75	Andres Gimenez CLE 2B	24	3	4	2
76	Cristian Javier HOU SP	26	3	4	2
77	Alejandro Kirk TOR C	24	3	4	2
78	Carlos Correa MIN SS	28	3	4	2
79	Xander Bogaerts SD SS	30	3	3	3
80	Luis Castillo SEA SP	30	3	3	3
81	Alex Bregman HOU 3B	29	3	3	3
82	Framber Valdez HOU SP	29	3	3	3
83	Tommy Edman STL 2B	28	3	3	3
84	Bryan Reynolds PIT CF	28	3	3	3
85	Logan Gilbert SEA SP	26	3	4	2
86	Logan Webb SF SP	26	3	3	3
87	George Kirby SEA SP	25	3	4	2
88	Jesus Luzardo MIA SP	25	3	4	2
89	Nick Lodolo CIN SP	25	3	4	2
90	Hunter Greene CIN SP	23	3	5	1
91	Miguel Vargas LAD 1B	23	2	4	3
92	Andrew Painter PHI SP	20	1	5	3
93	Eury Perez MIA SP	20	1	5	3
94	Francisco Alvarez NYM C	21	2	4	3
95	Triston Casas BOS 1B	23	2	4	3
96	Marcelo Mayer BOS SS	20	1	4	4
97	Druw Jones ARI CF	19	1	5	3
98	Jackson Holliday BAL SS	19	1	5	3
99	Triston McKenzie CLE SP	25	3	3	2
100	Willy Adames MIL SS	27	3	3	2
101	James Wood WAS CF	20	1	5	2
102	Ezequiel Tovar COL SS	21	2	4	2
103	Walker Buehler LAD SP	28	1	4	3
104	Teoscar Hernandez SEA RF	30	3	3	2
105	Adolis Garcia TEX RF	30	3	3	2
106	Trevor Story BOS 2B	30	3	3	2
107	Felix Bautista BAL RP	27	3	4	1
108	Jeremy Pena HOU SS	25	2	4	2
109	Salvador Perez KC C	33	3	1	4
110	George Springer TOR CF	33	3	2	3
111	Kevin Gausman TOR SP	32	3	2	3
112	Zac Veen COL OF	21	1	5	2
113	Daniel Espino CLE SP	22	1	5	2
114	Tim Anderson CHW SS	30	3	3	2
115	Joe Musgrove SD SP	30	3	3	2
116	Robbie Ray SEA SP	31	3	2	3
117	Byron Buxton MIN CF	29	3	4	1
118	William Contreras MIL C	25	3	4	1
119	Willson Contreras STL C	31	3	2	3
120	Tyler Glasnow TB SP	29	3	4	1
121	Steven Kwan CLE LF	25	3	3	2
122	Dustin May LAD SP	25	3	4	1
123	Shane Baz TB SP	24	1	5	2
124	Andrew Vaughn CHW RF	25	2	4	2
125	Vaughn Grissom ATL 2B	22	2	4	2
126	Josh Jung TEX 3B	25	2	4	2
127	Brett Baty NYM 3B	23	1	4	3
128	Riley Greene DET CF	22	2	5	1
129	Nate Lowe TEX 1B	27	3	3	2
130	Rhys Hoskins PHI 1B	30	3	2	3
131	Marco Luciano SF SS	21	1	5	2
132	Tyler Soderstrom OAK C	21	1	4	3
133	Noelvi Marte CIN SS	21	1	5	2
134	Ricky Tiedemann TOR SP	20	1	5	2
135	Kyle Harrison SF SP	21	1	5	2
136	Blake Snell SD SP	30	3	4	1
137	Kyle Wright ATL SP	27	3	3	2
138	Luis Severino NYY SP	29	3	4	1
139	Sean Murphy ATL C	28	3	3	2
140	Endy Rodriguez PIT C	23	2	5	1
141	Gavin Williams CLE SP	23	1	4	3
142	Termarr Johnson PIT SS	19	1	5	2
143	Tyler O'Neill STL LF	28	3	4	1
144	Nestor Cortes NYY SP	28	3	3	2
145	Tony Gonsolin LAD SP	29	3	3	2
146	Ketel Marte ARI 2B	29	3	3	2
147	Freddy Peralta MIL SP	27	3	4	1
148	C.J. Abrams WAS SS	22	2	4	2
149	Jarred Kelenic SEA RF	23	2	5	1
150	Spencer Torkelson DET 1B	23	2	4	2