After winning The Open Championship and nearly doing the same at the PGA Championship two weeks later, Henrik Stenson enters the 2016 Rio Olympics as a heavy favorite, according to Bovada.

Stenson is one of just four OWGR top 10 players competing in the event and is the highest-ranked so this makes sense.

Let's look at some of the odds.


  • Henrik Stenson: 5-1

The Big Swede will win this tournament if he plays like he has at the last two majors. He was a combined 28 under. Next best was Phil Mickelson at 20 under. Then Tyrrell Hatton at 15 under. Dominance from Stenson.

Other Favorites

  • Sergio Garcia: 7-1
  • Justin Rose: 10-1
  • Rickie Fowler: 14-1
  • Bubba Watson: 16-1
  • Martin Kaymer: 16-1
  • Patrick Reed: 18-1
  • Matt Kuchar: 18-1

I'm feeling Reed at 18-1 here. He's been playing quite well recently with top 15s in his last three events (including two major championships). Someone from this group winning would surprise nobody. In fact, I would be incredibly surprised if the winner wasn't one of the eight names listed thus far.

Fringe Favorites

  • Danny Willett: 22-1
  • Emiliano Grillo: 25-1
  • Rafael Cabrera-Bello: 28-1
  • Byeong Hun-An: 40-1
  • Padraig Harrington: 40-1
  • Thongchai Jaidee: 40-1

Love Cabrera-Bello at 28-1. That's a great number for somebody who has quietly been making a push to be on the European Ryder Cup team (and indeed will likely be on it).


  • Bernd Wiesberger: 50-1
  • Danny Lee: 50-1
  • David Lingmerth: 50-1
  • Jhonattan Vegas: 50-1
  • Soren Kjeldsen: 50-1
  • Thomas Pieters: 50-1
  • David Hearn: 66-1
  • Joost Luiten: 66-1
  • Graham DeLaet: 66-1
  • Anirban Lahiri: 66-1
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat: 66-1
  • Nicolas Colsaerts: 66-1

It's kind of a crapshoot from here. I like Aphibarnrat at 66-1, but I would also like to go a little deeper than this. Maybe Yuta Ikeada at 125-1 or Alex Cejka at 125-1. Those seem like better deals than David Hearn at 66-1.