The 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson lost some of its star power earlier this week when the No. 1 player in the world, Dustin Johnson, withdrew due to knee discomfort. Not only does it raise questions about Johnson's availability for next week's PGA Championship, but it also shuffles the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson odds as Johnson was a co-favorite. His absence gives everyone else in the field a slight boost as they compete for the $8.1 million purse, with the winner getting over $1.4 million. TPC Craig Ranch, located in a Dallas suburb, will host the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson, which tees off Thursday, May 13.
Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm sit atop the odds board at 8-1 according to William Hill Sportsbook. The latest 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson odds have Dallas native Jordan Spieth as the third choice at 10-1, while four-time major champion Brooks Koepka comes in at 20-1. There are three other golfers getting odds of 20-1 or shorter, making this a highly competitive field. Before locking in your 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed last June. In fact, it's up almost $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
At the Masters in April, McClure nailed Jon Rahm's (+250) top-five finish, as well as Corey Conners' (+550) top-10 showing. McClure's best bets netted over $450 at the Masters.
In addition, McClure was all over Daniel Berger's win at +1400 in his best bets at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February. McClure also nailed Viktor Hovland's (+2500) victory in the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. That was one of many huge calls he's made in the past few months.
This same model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
The model's top 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the AT&T Byron Nelson 2021: Bryson DeChambeau, an eight-time PGA Tour champion and one of the Vegas co-favorites, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top five. The 27-year-old is coming off a strong showing at the Wells Fargo Championship last week, securing his sixth top-10 finish of the season. He's recorded two victories on the PGA Tour this season, but he's been inconsistent in recent weeks, finishing outside the top-40 in two of his last three starts.
DeChambeau's inconsistent performances can be directly attributed to his driving accuracy percentage. In fact, DeChambeau enters this week's event ranked 166th on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy percentage (55.22), which doesn't bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard at TPC Craig Ranch. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the AT&T Byron Nelson 2021 field.
Another shocker: Matthew Fitzpatrick, a 20-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. The Englishman isn't a long ball hitter, but he's very precise off the tee as he ranks 15th in driving accuracy percentage. That will be much needed at TPC Craig Ranch, which has many of its fairways surrounded by water hazards as Rowlett Creek passes throughout the course. He also is among the best putters on tour as his .698 strokes gained: putting ranks 11th this season.
If you are accurate off the tee and with a hot putter in your hands, that presents lots of opportunities for low scores and Fitzpatrick has taken advantage of those opportunities. He's been on a magical run over the last few months that includes four top-10 finishes in his last seven tournaments. Fitzpatrick has never won a PGA Tour event, but his recent run makes him a good candidate to get that victory sooner rather than later.
How to make 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson picks
The model is targeting five other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.
So who will win the AT&T Byron Nelson 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed six golf majors and is up almost $10,000 since the restart.
2021 AT&T Byron Nelson odds (via William Hill)
Jon Rahm 8-1
Bryson DeChambeau 8-1
Jordan Spieth 10-1
Daniel Berger 16-1
Hideki Matsuyama 20-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 20-1
Scottie Scheffler 25-1
Marc Leishman 28-1
Will Zalatoris 28-1
Sam Burns 30-1
Si-Woo Kim 35-1
Sergio Garcia 40-1
Ryan Palmer 40-1
Harris English 50-1
Jason Day 50-1
Charl Schwartzel 55-1
Matt Kuchar 60-1
Thomas Pieters 66-1
Lee Westwood 66-1
Charles Howell 66-1
Aaron Wise 66-1
Keith Mitchell 66-1
Luke List 66-1
Russell Knox 70-1
Talor Gooch 70-1
Peter Uihlein 70-1
Cameron Champ 80-1
Alex Noren 80-1
Doug Ghim 80-1
Rickie Fowler 80-1
Carlos Ortiz 80-1
Antoine Rozner 90-1
Brandt Snedeker 90-1
Camilo Villegas 100-1
Ryan Moore 100-1
Ben Martin 100-1
Sebastian Munoz 100-1
Jhonattan Vegas 125-1
John Catlin 125-1
Erik Van Rooyen 125-1
James Hahn 125-1
Wyndham Clark 150-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Adam Schenk 150-1
Patton Kizzire 150-1
Sepp Straka 150-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 150-1
Scott Stallings 150-1
Doc Redman 150-1
Martin Laird 150-1
C.T. Pan 150-1
Scott Piercy 150-1
