The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets play the rubber game of their three-game series when the teams collide on Sunday Night Baseball at Citi Field. The Mets took the Opening Day game, 1-0. The Braves answered with a come-from-behind, 5-3 win in 10 innings on Saturday. On Sunday, lefty Sean Newcomb takes the mound for Atlanta against New York's Rick Porcello.
First pitch at Citi Field is set for 7:08 p.m. ET. Atlanta is the -110 favorite on the money line in the latest Braves vs. Mets odds from William Hill, while the Over-Under for total runs scored is nine. Before making any Braves vs. Mets picks, check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, is coming off a banner 2019 season. The model returned more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks, and anyone who followed it saw huge rewards.
Now, the model has dialed in on Mets vs. Braves. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Braves vs. Mets:
- Braves vs. Mets money line: Atlanta -110, New York +100
- Braves vs. Mets run line: Atlanta -1.5
- Braves vs. Mets Over-Under: 9 runs
- ATL: Starters have allowed two earned runs in 11 innings pitched
- NYM: OF Michael Conforto has three hits and scored one run this season
Why you should back the Braves
On Saturday, Atlanta was able to exploit the Mets' weakness from last season: the bullpen. In 2019, New York relievers had a 4.95 ERA, the sixth highest in the majors. They also blew 27 saves, the seventh most in baseball.
The bullpen did not look improved on Saturday. With two outs and two strikes in the ninth inning, closer Edwin Diaz allowed a game-tying home run to Marcell Ozuna. The Braves scored three more runs off the Mets' bullpen in the 10th to earn a 5-3 win. Even if Atlanta trails late in Sunday's game, the Braves are never out of it.
Why you should back the Mets
Starter Rick Porcello has a track record of success against Atlanta. In four career starts against the Braves, Porcello is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA. He has 21 strikeouts in 24 innings and has limited Atlanta to a .193 batting average.
In addition, if last season is any indication, New York should have success against Newcomb. Last year, the Mets had a .799 OPS against lefthanders. That ranked fourth in the National League and eighth in the majors.
How to make Mets vs. Braves picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, as the simulations say Porcello pitches more than five innings, and it also says one side of the money line has the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Braves vs. Mets on Sunday Night Baseball? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mets vs. Braves money line to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that returned more than $1,400 last season.
