Nationals vs. Phillies odds, line: MLB predictions, picks for July 14 from model on 18-6 run

The Washington Nationals look to sweep a three-game series from the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday. The Nationals (49-42), second in the division, have won four in a row and eight of 10, while the Phillies (47-45), third in the East, have lost two in a row and five of their last seven. Sunday's first pitch from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia is set for 1:05 p.m. ET, and the Nationals have won nine of 13 meetings against the Phillies this season. The latest Nationals vs. Phillies odds show Philadelphia favored at -111 on the money line (risk $111 to win $100), while the over-under for total runs scored is 10. Before making any Phillies vs. Nationals picks of your own, look at the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, entered Week 16 of the MLB season on a sizzling 18-6 run on top-rated MLB money line picks. Its top-rated money-line picks have now returned almost $1,700 on the season for $100 bettors, and anybody who has been following it is way up.

Now the model has dialed in on Nationals vs. Phillies. We can tell you it's leaning under, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model knows Philadelphia, 27-19 at home this season, leads the all-time series 442-426, including a 234-205 advantage in games played in Philadelphia. Right-hander Jake Arrieta (8-7, 4.67 ERA) gets the start despite pitching with a bone spur in his right elbow. Arrieta has won two of his last three outings, and in his career against the Nationals, Arrieta has walked 19 and struck out 42.

Offensively, second baseman Cesar Hernandez is 3-for-8 with a double and an RBI. Hernandez has hits in six straight games against the Nationals, going 9-for-24 with four doubles and an RBI during that streak.

But just because Philadelphia has the upper hand in the all-time series does not mean it is the best value on the Nationals vs. Phillies money line.

That's because the Nationals have gone 7-1 in July. Right-hander Anibal Sanchez (5-6, 3.66 ERA) gets the start in place of Max Scherzer, who was sent to the injured list because of lingering back tightness. Sanchez has pitched well of late, going 5-0 with a 2.11 ERA in his last eight starts. He's pitched six innings in six of his last seven outings.

Left fielder Juan Soto has feasted on Phillies pitching this season, going 13-for-36 with three doubles, three home runs and 10 RBIs in 10 games. Third baseman Anthony Rendon has been a catalyst in the series, going 3-for-7 with three walks, while center fielder Victor Robles is 3-for-8 with a double and three RBIs.

So who wins Phillies vs. Nationals? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Phillies vs. Nationals money line you should be all over Sunday, all from the advanced model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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