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The New York Mets (58-37) host the San Diego Padres (54-42) in a primetime affair on Sunday Night Baseball. The Mets have stumbled out the MLB All-Star break, dropping two straight games to the Padres. They are narrowly leading the NL East by 0.5 games over the Atlanta Braves. Meanwhile, San Diego sits in second place in the NL West. Joe Musgrove (8-2, 2.42 ERA) starts for San Diego on Sunday, while Carlos Carrasco (10-4, 4.27 ERA) gets the nod for the Mets. 

First pitch is set for 7:08 p.m. ET. New York is the -130 money line favorite (risk $130 to win $100) in the latest Padres vs. Mets odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while San Diego is a +110 underdog. The over-under for total runs scored is eight. Before making any Mets vs. Padres picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 280-240 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $500 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Padres vs. Mets, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Padres vs. Mets:

  • Padres vs. Mets money line: New York -130, San Diego +110
  • Padres vs. Mets run-line: New York -1.5 (+162)
  • Padres vs. Mets over-under: 8 runs
  • SD: The Padres are 4-1 in their last five vs. a team with a winning record
  • NYM: The under is 4-0 in Mets' last four Sunday games
  • Padres vs. Mets picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

Why you should back the Mets

Shortstop Francisco Lindor has a nice combination of athleticism, power, and speed. Lindor is a reliable defender with a rocket of an arm. The four-time All-Star owns the bat speed to quickly turn on a pitch. Lindor is seventh in the league in RBIs (66) to go along with 16 home runs. He is a versatile playmaker for the Mets.

Brandon Nimmo covers a lot of ground in the outfield due to his speed and solid athleticism. Nimmo has good hitting skills with sound pitch recognition. The 29-year-old is batting .267 while smashing nine home runs and 33 RBIs. On July 14, he went 3-for-4 with a double and a solo homer. 

Why you should back the Padres 

Third baseman Manny Machado is an all-around talent for the Padres. Machado has an extremely strong arm with amazing instincts. The six-time All-Star owns the strength to push the ball into any gap on the field. Machado leads the team in batting average (.298), home runs (16), RBIs (53), and hits (96). 

Second baseman Jake Cronenworth is a smooth batter whose patient at the plate. Cronenworth knows how to manage the strike zone well and won't go chasing many pitches. The two-time All-Star is also a reliable defender who rarely makes mistakes. Cronenworth has nine home runs and 49 RBIs. On July 22, he went 1-for-4 with a triple. 

How to make Mets vs. Padres picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.7 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Padres vs. Mets? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.