The Boston Red Sox will look to get back to .500 on the season when they battle the Minnesota Twins in the third and final game of their series on Thursday. The teams have split the first two games, after Minnesota ended its three-game losing streak on Wednesday. The Twins (11-7), who placed third in the American League Central a year ago, have the early lead in the division this year. The Red Sox (9-10), fifth in the AL East, have won two of the last three meetings with Minnesota.
The game is slated to begin at 1:35 p.m. ET from Fenway Park in Boston. The Red Sox are batting .241 as a team, 18th-best in MLB, while the Twins are hitting .224, 27th-best. Boston is a -125 favorite on the money line in the latest Twins vs. Red Sox odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 9. Before making any Red Sox vs. Twins picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on Red Sox vs. Twins and revealed its predictions and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds and betting trends for Twins vs. Red Sox:
- Red Sox vs. Twins money line: Twins +105, Red Sox -125
- Red Sox vs. Twins over/under: 9 runs
- Red Sox vs. Twins run line: Red Sox -1.5 (+158)
- MIN: The Under is 3-0-1 in the Twins' last four during Game 3 of a series
- BOS: The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last six games vs. the American League Central
- Red Sox vs. Twins picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Red Sox
Infielder Rafael Devers has been red hot as he's hitting .270 with seven homers, 17 RBI and 14 runs scored. He had back-to-back two-hit games on Monday against the Angels and Tuesday vs. the Twins. He also had two doubles and two RBI in that span. He has seven multi-hit games on the season, and in 27 career games against Minnesota, Devers has four doubles, seven homers and 20 RBI.
Infielder Justin Turner has six multi-hit games on the season, including a 2-for-5 performance in Tuesday's series opener. For the year, Turner is hitting .261 with one homer, six RBI and nine runs scored. His homer came in Sunday's 2-1 win over the Los Angeles Angels. In eight career games against the Twins, Turner is hitting .294 with two doubles and five RBI. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back the Twins
Right-hander Kenta Maeda (0-2, 4.09 ERA) will start for Minnesota. Maeda has pitched well, but was a hard-luck 1-0 loser at Miami on April 4, and took the loss in last Monday's 4-3 defeat against the Chicago White Sox. In the game against Miami, Maeda pitched five innings, allowing three hits, one earned run and no walks, while striking out nine. He followed that up by pitching six innings against Chicago, giving up eight hits, four runs -- all earned -- while striking out three.
Offensively, left fielder Trevor Larnach has displayed some pop. He is hitting .242, but has four multi-hit games with one homer, nine RBI and six runs scored. In six career games against Boston, he has two doubles, one homer and six RBI. In an 11-1 win at Miami on April 3, Larnach was 2-for-5 with a triple, home run and three RBI. See which team to pick here.
How to make Twins vs. Red Sox picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the run total, as the simulations have the teams combining for 9.3 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Red Sox vs. Twins? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished last season on a 20-14 roll, and find out.
