The Toronto Raptors attempt to avoid elimination from the 2022 NBA playoffs on Saturday afternoon. The Raptors trail the Philadelphia 76ers by a 3-0 margin in the first round, with Toronto hosting Game 4. The Sixers secured a close-fought overtime victory in Game 3 on Wednesday, setting up the chance for the series to wrap on Saturday. Scottie Barnes (ankle) is listed as doubtful for Toronto. Matisse Thybulle (ineligible) is ruled out for Philadelphia. Joel Embiid is reportedly dealing with a thumb injury, but he doesn't appear on the injury report and is expected to play through it.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as the three-point road favorite for this 2 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 213 in the latest 76ers vs. Raptors odds. Before making any Raptors vs. 76ers picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-56 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Raptors, and just revealed its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and playoff betting lines for Raptors vs. Sixers:
- 76ers vs. Raptors spread: 76ers -3
- 76ers vs. Raptors over-under: 213 points
- 76ers vs. Raptors money line: 76ers -150, Raptors +130
- PHL: The 76ers are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
- TOR: The Raptors are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the 76ers can cover
Philadelphia has the best player in the series in Embiid, with the talented center leading the NBA in scoring at 30.6 points per game and averaging 11.7 rebounds per game. Embiid has also dominated in this series, including a game-winning jumper in Game 3. He is flanked by James Harden, who averaged 21.0 points, 10.5 assists and 7.1 rebounds per game in the regular season after joining Philadelphia. In addition, rising standout Tyrese Maxey enjoyed a fantastic season, and he is averaging 26.7 points on 60 percent shooting in the series.
As a team, the Sixers have been unstoppable against Toronto, producing a 127.1 offensive rating in three games. Philadelphia is winning the rebounding battle by a decisive margin, and the 76ers are making 46.2 percent of 3-point shots. In addition, Philadelphia is averaging 28.0 free throw attempts per game and shooting 83.3 percent at the line, with the 76ers boasting an elite 65.7 percent true shooting mark. Dating back to the regular season, the 76ers also finished in the top four of the NBA in turnovers (12.5 per game) and live-ball turnovers (6.6 per game) during the regular season.
Why the Raptors can cover
Toronto hasn't found its footing in the series, but the Raptors were notably better in Game 3. In addition, Toronto is averaging 2.2 assists for every turnover in the first three games, committing a giveaway on fewer than 11 percent of offensive possessions. The Raptors are also above the league average in offensive rebounding through three games, and Toronto was No. 2 in the NBA in offensive rebound rate at 32.4 percent in the regular season. The Raptors have a pair of 20-point scorers in Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet, and ball security is regularly a strength. On top of the strong turnover avoidance in the series, the Raptors finished in the top three of the NBA in turnovers and live-ball turnovers during the regular season. Toronto is also dynamite in transition, ranking No. 3 in the league in averaging 15.8 fast break points per game this season.
Defensively, the Raptors ranked in the top 10 of the NBA in defensive rating in the regular season, with top-three marks in turnover creation, steals per game and points off turnovers. Philadelphia was last in the league in offensive rebound rate in 2021-22, and Toronto was in the top ten in fast break points allowed and points allowed in the paint.
How to make 76ers vs. Raptors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Raptors vs. 76ers pick at SportsLine.
So who wins 76ers vs. Raptors? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the 76ers vs. Raptors spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.