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The Memphis Grizzlies will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder at 8 p.m. ET Monday at FedExForum. Memphis is 19-12 overall and 11-7 at home, while Oklahoma City is 9-19 overall and 4-9 on the road. These teams last played on Dec. 2 in which the Grizzlies embarrassed OKC with a 152-79 victory. The 73-point margin of victory is the largest in the 76 year history of the NBA.

Memphis is favored by nine points in the latest Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 212.5. Before entering any Thunder vs. Grizzlies picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 46-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $1,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Thunder. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Grizzlies:

  • Grizzlies vs. Thunder spread: Grizzlies -9
  • Grizzlies vs. Thunder over-under: 212.5 points

What you need to know about the Grizzlies

The Grizzlies were within striking distance but couldn't close the gap on Sunday as they fell 105-100 to the Portland Trail Blazers. Small forward Desmond Bane had a pretty forgettable game, playing for 33 minutes but putting up just nine points on 4-for-12 shooting. The loss ended Memphis' five-game winning streak but it has still gone 10-2 over its last 12 games.

All 12 of those games have come without Ja Morant (knee), who coach Taylor Jenkins says is "getting really close" to returning to game action. The Grizzlies are a balanced team that ranks fifth in offensive ranking while also playing a hectic style of defense. Memphis leads the NBA with 10.4 steals per game and also ranks third with 5.9 blocks per contest.

What you need to know about the Thunder

Meanwhile, Oklahoma City escaped with a win this past Saturday against the Los Angeles Clippers by the margin of a single free throw, 104-103. Oklahoma City's small forward Luguentz Dort looked sharp as he had 29 points in addition to five rebounds. Rookie Josh Giddey filled up the stat sheet as the No. 6 overall pick had eight points, 18 rebounds and 10 assists.

OKC is roughly league average on the defensive end, but it really struggles with efficiency on the offensive end. The Thunder rank last in offensive rating, last in points per game and last in field goal percentage. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 21.6 PPG on 41.3 percent shooting but he's taken a step back after averaging 23.7 PPG on 50.8 percent shooting last season.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Thunder picks

The model has simulated Thunder vs. Grizzlies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Thunder? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Thunder vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on Monday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.