Trae Young leads the Atlanta Hawks into Madison Square Garden on Wednesday evening. The Hawks are 4-3 overall this season and will face the 3-3 New York Knicks, who are 3-0 at home this season. Cam Reddish (non-COVID illness) and Quentin Grimes (foot) are listed as questionable for the Knicks. Onyeka Okongwu (shoulder) is listed as questionable for the Hawks, with Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) ruled out.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Knicks as 2.5-point home favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 232.5 in the latest Hawks vs. Knicks odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Knicks vs. Hawks match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 97-65 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Hawks vs. Knicks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Knicks vs. Hawks:
- Knicks vs. Hawks spread: Knicks -2.5
- Knicks vs. Hawks over/under: 232.5 points
- Knicks vs. Hawks money line: Knicks -135, Hawks +115
- ATL: The Hawks are 2-5 against the spread this season
- NYK: The Knicks are 3-3 against the spread this season
- Knicks vs. Hawks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Hawks can cover
Atlanta has impressive pedigree on the offensive end of the floor. The Hawks finished the 2021-22 season with the No. 2 mark in the NBA in offensive efficiency, and Atlanta is scoring 114.2 points per 100 possessions this season. That ranks near the top of the league again, and the Hawks are in the top five in field goal percentage (48.1%) and free throw percentage (82.1%). Atlanta shares the ball well behind Young and Dejounte Murray, averaging 25.6 assists per game, and the Hawks are elite in ball security, committing only 12.6 turnovers per contest.
Atlanta generates more than two assists for every turnover, and the Hawks are scuffling on the defensive glass this season, securing fewer than 68% of available rebounds after forcing a missed shot. Atlanta is also excellent in 3-point defense, with New York shooting only 33.8% from beyond the arc to begin the 2022-23 campaign.
Why the Knicks can cover
New York is unbeaten at home this season, and the Knicks have clear points of confidence. The Knicks are in the top five of the NBA in offensive rebound rate (32.4%) and turnover rate (13.0%), with above-average marks in 2-point shooting (53.9%) and assists (25.3 per game). New York is also facing an Atlanta defense that has deficiencies. The Hawks are allowing 115.4 points per 100 possessions, a bottom-eight mark in the NBA, and Atlanta is dead-last in free throw prevention.
The Hawks are also near the bottom of the league in turnover creation and defensive rebound rate, with New York also bringing top-tier defensive credentials. The Knicks are in the top five in field goal percentage allowed (42.9%) and 2-point percentage allowed (50.0%), with above-average marks in 3-point defense. Atlanta has taken the fewest 3-point attempts in the NBA this season, and the Hawks are also in the bottom tier of the league in free throw creation.
How to make Knicks vs. Hawks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 237 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all of the value. See which side to back at SportsLine.
So who wins Hawks vs. Knicks? And which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
