The Sacramento Kings host the Los Angeles Lakers in a Western Conference clash on Tuesday. The Kings aim for a second win over the Lakers in five games, with Sacramento winning an overtime battle on Nov. 26 in Los Angeles. The rematch is in Sacramento, with the Lakers entering at 11-11 and the Kings at 8-13 this season. Harrison Barnes (foot) is listed as doubtful for Sacramento, with Maurice Harkless (knee) listed as questionable. Avery Bradley (hand) is listed as questionable for Los Angeles, with LeBron James (COVID), Trevor Ariza (ankle) and Kendrick Nunn (knee) ruled out.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as the 3.5-point favorite on the road for this 10 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 226 in the latest Lakers vs. Kings odds. Before locking in any Kings vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $1,500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 117-77 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Lakers vs. Kings spread: Lakers -3.5
- Lakers vs. Kings over-under: 226 points
- Lakers vs. Kings money line: Lakers -170, Kings +145
- Los Angeles: The Lakers are 7-15 against the spread this season
- Sacramento: The Kings are 9-12 against the spread in 2021-22
Why the Lakers can cover
Even with James listed as questionable, the Lakers have plenty of firepower and two superstars set to play. Anthony Davis is averaging 24.2 points and 10.1 rebounds per game this season while also playing elite-level defense. Russell Westbrook is putting up 20.6 points, 8.7 assists and 8.4 rebounds per game, and he is a one-man fast break for Los Angeles.
The Lakers are No. 4 in the league in transition points, averaging 15.6 per game, and Los Angeles is a top-10 team in field-goal shooting, free-throw creation, assists and points in the paint. The Lakers are also facing a Sacramento team that struggles mightily on the defensive side. The Kings are No. 27 in the NBA in defensive efficiency, No. 25 in free-throw rate allowed, and No. 29 in defensive rebound rate this season, illustrating Sacramento's overall vulnerability in trying to slow down opponents.
Why the Kings can cover
Sacramento's offense is strong, and the Kings have potential matchup advantages. Sacramento is No. 2 in the NBA in free-throw volume, attempting 23.2 shots per game at the charity stripe, and the Kings are No. 4 in points in the paint at 49.6 per game. Sacramento is a top-eight team in offensive rebound rate (28.3 percent) and second-chance points (14.4 per game), and the Kings avoid turnovers at an effective level, giving up the ball on only 13.8 percent of possessions.
The Lakers are No. 29 in the NBA in assists allowed, and the Kings should be able to move the ball effectively. On the opposite side, Sacramento is in the top 10 in fast-break prevention, allowing 11.8 points per game in transition, and the Lakers are No. 27 in turnovers on offense. If the game is close, the Kings could also have an edge at the free throw line, with the Lakers ranking just No. 25 in the NBA in free throw accuracy.
How to make Kings vs. Lakers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 214 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Lakers vs. Kings? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.