We've got another exciting Eastern Conference matchup on the schedule as the Detroit Pistons and the Miami Heat are set to tip at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday at Little Caesars Arena. Detroit is 12-54 overall and 7-27 at home, while Miami is 36-30 overall and 19-15 on the road. The Heat have won eight of their last 10 head-to-head matchups with the Pistons.
However, Detroit is 8-2 against the spread during that span and both teams have matching 33-32 records against the number this season. On Sunday, Miami is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Pistons vs. Heat odds, while the over/under is 214.5 points. Before entering any Pistons vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 70-46 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Miami-Detroit. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:
- Pistons vs. Heat spread: Pistons +6.5
- Pistons vs. Heat over/under: 214.5 points
- Pistons vs. Heat money line: Pistons: +218, Heat: -267
- Pistons vs. Heat picks: See picks here
What you need to know about the Pistons
Detroit is coming off a 108-95 loss to the Heat on Friday. Jalen Duren had a double-double with 15 points and 17 rebounds, while Simone Fontecchio recorded 24 points in the defeat. However, the Pistons were ultimately undone by 17 turnovers and a terrible shooting night.
Cade Cunningham and Jaden Ivey combined to go 8-for-29 from the floor and the Pistons were 10-for-38 from the 3-point line as a team. Cunningham is listed as probable for Sunday's contest with a knee injury.
What you need to know about the Heat
Meanwhile, Miami was victorious against the Pistons thanks to a big night from Bam Adebayo. The former All-Star center had 22 points, nine rebounds, three blocks, two assists and two steals in the win and he'll likely carry a heavy load again on Sunday.
The Heat only turned the ball over eight times and that +9 turnover differential played a big role in a comfortable victory as 7.5-point favorites. Caleb Martin had 18 points, eight rebounds, six assists and two steals off the bench in the win as well.
How to make Pistons vs. Heat picks
The model has simulated Pistons vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Heat vs. Pistons, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that is on a 70-46 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.
