The Phoenix Suns boast the NBA's best record, winning 41 of the team's first 50 games this season. On Thursday, the Suns will face an intriguing road test in front of a national audience as they visit the Atlanta Hawks. Phoenix is on an 11-game winning streak, with Atlanta winning seven of the last eight contests to improve to 24-26. Trae Young (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Atlanta, with Cameron Payne (wrist) and Landry Shamet (ankle) ruled out for Phoenix.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as a four-point road favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 226.5 in the latest Suns vs. Hawks odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Suns vs. Hawks match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 62-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,500. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Hawks vs. Suns, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Suns vs. Hawks:
- Suns vs. Hawks spread: Suns -4
- Suns vs. Hawks over-under: 226.5 points
- Suns vs. Hawks money line: Suns -180, Hawks +155
- PHX: The Suns are 15-8 against the spread in road games
- ATL: The Hawks are 13-13 against the spread in home games
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix is excellent on the offensive end, and Atlanta struggles mightily on defense. The Suns are scoring 1.13 points per possession, third-best in the NBA, and Phoenix leads the NBA in field goal percentage at 47.8 percent. The Suns are No. 4 in the league in three-point accuracy, making 36.6 percent of shots, and Phoenix is in the top seven in free throw accuracy and assists.
The Suns produce 1.98 assists per turnover, No. 3 in the NBA, and Phoenix commits only 13.4 giveaways per game. Phoenix also assists on nearly 62 percent of field goals, and the Suns average 47.8 points in the paint per game. The Hawks are No. 27 in the NBA in defensive rating this season, and Atlanta struggles to create havoc. The Hawks are No. 28 in turnover creation, with bottom-five marks in assists allowed and two-point shooting allowed.
Why the Hawks can cover
Atlanta deploys a high-powered offense that is difficult to stop. The Hawks are scoring 113.3 points per 100 possessions, No. 2 in the NBA, and Atlanta leads the league in protecting the ball, committing a turnover on only 12.5 percent of possessions. The Hawks produce 1.97 assists for every turnover, No. 4 in the NBA, and Atlanta is No. 5 in shooting efficiency. That includes top-six marks in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage and free-throw percentage this season, with Atlanta generating 21.9 free-throw attempts per game.
On defense, the Hawks prevent free-throw attempts at a high level, ranking in the top five and giving up only 19.4 attempts per game. Atlanta is in the top five of the NBA in defensive rebound rate (74.0 percent) and second-chance points (11.8 per game), and Phoenix is only No. 25 in the league in free-throw creation on the offensive side.
How to make Suns vs. Hawks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Hawks vs. Suns? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.