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The Jacksonville Jaguars will try to keep their playoff hopes alive when they face the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday afternoon. Jacksonville has won three of its last five games and has been assisted by Tennessee's three-game losing streak, jumping back into contention in the AFC South. Dallas, meanwhile, is riding a four-game winning streak, but the Cowboys are still two games back of Philadelphia atop the NFC East standings.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Dallas is favored by 4 points in the latest Jaguars vs. Cowboys odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 47.5. Before entering any Cowboys vs. Jaguars picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 157-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model is also a sizzling 21-5 on straight-up NFL picks over the past two weeks. 

The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Jaguars vs. Cowboys. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Jaguars vs. Cowboys:

  • Jaguars vs. Cowboys spread: Cowboys -4
  • Jaguars vs. Cowboys over/under: 47.5 points
  • Jaguars vs. Cowboys money line: Jacksonville +175, Dallas -210
  • Jaguars vs. Cowboys picks: See picks here

Why the Jaguars can cover

Jacksonville has suddenly found itself in the AFC playoff hunt after winning three of its last five games. AFC South-leading Tennessee has dropped its last three in a row, including last week's two-touchdown win by the Jaguars. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been largely responsible for the late-season surge, throwing for 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions in his last five games. 

He completed 30 of 42 passes for 368 yards and three touchdowns in the 36-22 win over the Titans last week. Dallas has struggled to meet betting expectations over the past three weeks, failing to cover the spread in wins over the Giants and Texans. The Cowboys have a showdown with Philadelphia on deck, making a letdown performance a huge possibility again this week. 

Why the Cowboys can cover

Dallas is one of the hottest teams in the NFL coming into this matchup, having won four games in a row. The Cowboys have averaged more than 37 points per game during that stretch, and they have scored the third-most points per game in the league this season. Running backs Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott have provided quarterback Dak Prescott with plenty of support, rushing for a combined 15 touchdowns in their last six games.

Prescott has thrown multiple interceptions in three of his last five starts, giving Dallas some extra room for improvement as the season progresses. The Cowboys have been outstanding defensively as well, allowing the fifth-fewest yards per game—linebacker Micah Parsons ranks third in the NFL in sacks (12). Dallas has won nine consecutive games in the month of December and has covered the spread in 11 of its last 14 road games. 

How to make Jaguars vs. Cowboys picks

The model has simulated Cowboys vs. Jaguars 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Jaguars vs. Cowboys? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Cowboys vs. Jaguars spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.