Dolphins vs. Broncos odds, picks, line, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals 2023 Week 3 NFL predictions

TV channel, NFL best bets, picks for Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos on CBS and Paramount+

By CBS Sports Staff

Sep 24, 2023 at 11:42 am ET • 3 min read

A pair of teams with opposite starts to the 2023 NFL season will meet on Sunday as the Miami Dolphins host the Denver Broncos on CBS and Paramount+. Miami is one of two NFL teams to open the season 2-0, with both wins coming on the road, while Denver is one of two teams to open 0-2, with both losses coming at home. Tua Tagovailoa entered Week 3 atop the league in passing yards, while Russell Wilson ranks third in the NFL in passing touchdowns, though it hasn't translated into wins. You can stream the game in select markets on Paramount+, which you can now try free for the first seven days when you sign up here.

Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. Miami is a six-point favorite in the latest Broncos vs. Dolphins odds from the SportsLine consensus, and the over/under for total points is 47.5. Sunday's matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan.

Sign up now to get a free seven-day trial of the Essential or Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan at Paramount+. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content including the UEFA Champions League and Europa League, NWSL, SEC and Big Ten on CBS, and countless movies and shows. Get it all and start with a seven-day free trial when you sign up right here.

How to watch Dolphins vs. Broncos

Broncos vs. Dolphins date: Sunday, Sept. 24
Broncos vs. Dolphins time: 1 p.m. ET
Broncos vs. Dolphins TV channel: CBS
Broncos vs. Dolphins streaming: Paramount+ (7-day free trial)

Week 3 NFL picks for Dolphins vs. Broncos

Before tuning into Sunday's Broncos vs. Dolphins game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine's advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 164-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 18-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Dolphins vs. Broncos, the model is backing Miami to cover the spread at home. The Dolphins have covered in their last four games, the longest active streak in the NFL. Meanwhile, Denver has failed to cover in its last three contests.

Tagovailoa is an early MVP frontrunner as he leads an offense which ranks first in yards and third in points. It has multiple avenues to find the endzone as Raheem Mostert leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns, while Tyreek Hill leads the league in receiving scores. They should find holes versus a Denver defense that was thought of as a strength coming into the season but has regressed considerably from last year's top 10 unit. This season, the Broncos rank in the bottom 10 in points allowed, redzone defense and takeaways.

The model projects three different Dolphins to go over 60 scrimmage yards, while no Broncos reach that mark. The offensive disparity between these two has the Dolphins (-6.5) covering in almost 60% of simulations, per the model. You may be able to stream the game here.