No. 25 Dayton will try to wrap up a perfect record at home when it hosts VCU on Friday night in an Atlantic 10 battle. The Flyers (23-6, 13-4 Atlantic 10) bounced back from a loss at Loyola Chicago with a 100-83 win at Saint Louis on Tuesday. They are in third place in the conference standings, while VCU is two games back in fourth place. The Rams are on a two-game losing skid, falling to Duquesne at home earlier this week.
Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET on Friday at University of Dayton Arena. Dayton is favored by 8 points in the latest Dayton vs. VCU odds, while the over/under is 137.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any VCU vs. Dayton picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 18 of the 2023-24 season on a 141-100 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 26-17 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on VCU-Dayton. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:
- Dayton vs. VCU spread: Dayton -8
- Dayton vs. VCU over/under: 137.5 points
- Dayton vs. VCU money line: Dayton -359, VCU +283
- Dayton vs. VCU picks: See picks here
Why Dayton can cover
Dayton is 14-0 at home this season, including an 80-66 win over Davidson as a 10-point favorite in its most recent outing at University of Dayton Arena. All five of their starters scored in double figures, while junior guard Koby Brea had a team-high 17 points off the bench. Brea shot 6 of 10 from the floor, including a 5 of 9 mark from 3-point range.
Junior forward DaRon Holmes II posted a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds, while junior guard Enoch Cheeks added 15 points. Holmes is averaging 20.1 points and 8.2 rebounds per game after posting a 25-point, 13-rebound double-double at Saint Louis on Tuesday. VCU is just 3-6 as an underdog this season, and it has five losses in 11 games away from home.
Why VCU can cover
VCU is coming off a pair of losses after winning six of its previous seven games, but one of those losses came by just three points at Richmond. The Rams have already picked up one win against Dayton, springing the upset as 2.5-point underdogs on Feb. 9. They were able to play that game at their pace, holding the Flyers to just 47 points on 17 of 47 shooting.
Senior guard Max Shulga leads VCU with 15.0 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, while senior guard Joe Bamisile is adding 14.0 points off the bench. The Rams have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games, including six of their last eight road games. They are also 7-2 straight up and against the spread in their last nine games against Dayton. See which team to pick here.
How to make Dayton vs. VCU picks
The model has simulated VCU vs. Dayton 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Dayton vs. VCU, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 141-100 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.
