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Syracuse got a win against Georgia Tech Saturday, but the Orange have some bad losses and work to do in the ACC tournament. And Cal ... man, this is going downhill quickly. Also, just when you think Michigan State is starting to get off the bubble, they fall again in Big Ten play, this time to Maryland, and now Sparty could really stand to win a few games in the Big Ten tournament to feel really safe.
Seton Hall, on the other hand, is all but guaranteed a spot after taking down No. 13 Butler.
Here's how the rest of the bubble teams are shaking out on a huge Saturday:
Arkansas 85 Georgia 67
Arkansas should feel pretty comfortable about getting selected now after an easy win over Georgia. As long as the Razorbacks do not take another bad loss, they should hear their name called next Sunday.
The path is much tougher for Georgia. The Bulldogs fell to 17-13, which means winning at least one game in the SEC tournament just to have a good enough record to even get considered. However, they are still lacking quality wins, which means probably having to beat one of the top teams in the SEC tournament. This does not look like a team capable of doing what it takes to get in.
Seton Hall 70 Butler 64
Welcome to the NCAA tournament, Seton Hall. The Pirates concluded a strong finish to the regular season with a come from behind win at Butler. They will play another middle of the conference team in the Big East tournament, this avoiding a bad loss.
Marquette 91 Creighton 83
Marquette picked up another quality win today to punctuate what was a strong finish to their regular season. My only concern about the Golden Eagles is their poor non-conference schedule. They are probably in the field, but I'm going to wait a bit to take them off the bubble.
Maryland 63 Michigan State 60
Michigan State lost on the road again, and even though they were competitive, they are now just 18-13 overall. That means that if they are an at-large team, they will be one with 14 losses. Only seven teams have ever received at-large bids with that many losses and none since 2011. The committee may need a couple this year to fill the field, but it would be a good idea for Michigan State to win a game or two in the Big Ten tournament.
Kansas State 61 Texas Tech 48
Kansas State picked an important win, if not a quality win, over Texas Tech. That gives the Wildcats a two-game wining streak for the first time since January 21st. They only have five quality wins, but three of them are over Baylor, West Virginia and Oklahoma State. KSU needs to avoid bad losses to have a chance to stay on the right side of the fence.
Providence 86 St. John's 75
The Friars won their last six games of the regular season to end up with a 3-seed in the Big East tournament. They still have three bad losses, and that's not good, but at least they should be able to avoid one in the first Big East tournament game.
Rutgers 62 Illinois 59
Illinois gave up a lot of the good it had done over the last two weeks by losing at Rutgers. The Illini fell to 17-13 and picked up their first bad loss of the season. It is not necessarily the end for the Illini -- people tend to overreact to the most recent result, but the committee does not. Still, Illinois will have their work cut out for them at the Big Ten tournament.
Colorado 54 Cal 46
Good luck finding a bubble team that had a worse week than Cal. The Bears failed to reach 50 points for the second consecutive game. At least they were not blown out in this one. For a team that has not done all that much good this year, a week like this puts them in trouble.
VCU 72 George Mason 60
The Rams needed a bounce back after a bad week of losses at Rhode Island and Dayton, and they got it. VCU needs to avoid bad losses, but as teams around them falter, the Rams start to look more comfortable.
Illinois State 63 Southern Illinois 50
The Redbirds did their part, beating the Salukis to set up a possible rubber match with Wichita State for the conference championship and an at-large bid. Illinois State has assured that it will not take a third bad loss, but having only two top 100 wins may not be enough.
Syracuse 90 Georgia Tech 61
Syracuse did what Syracuse does -- win at home. Even with the win, the Orange still has an RPI around 80. That's what happens when you can't win on the road and lose to St. John's and Georgetown at home. At 18-13, the Orange will have work to do in the conference tournament to earn a spot in the field.
Wake Forest 89 Virginia Tech 84
No bubble team had a better week than Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons followed up a win over Louisville, which was its best of the season, with a road win over the Hokies. Wake is filling the holes in its tournament resume. Now, they need to avoid giving away all the good from this week by taking a bad loss.
Rhode Island 73 Davidson 70, OT
The Rams paper thin resume almost got stepped on. They squeaked by Davidson, narrowly avoiding a third bad home loss of the season. As it is, it may be difficult to overcome the other two. That neutral court win over Cincinnati is keeping them afloat.
Nevada 85 Colorado State 72
Nevada won the Mountain West regular season title with a win over Colorado State. The Wolf Pack has six top 100 wins, but none against a likely tournament team and lost to St. Mary's, the only such team it played. They also have three bad losses, so their chances of an at-large bid depend on losing only to Boise State or the Rams and hoping for the best.
Wichita State 78 Missouri State 63
The Shockers got a pretty good fight from Missouri State in the first half, but pulled away in the second for the win. That sets up the battle royale in the MVC with Illinois State for the automatic bid and a comfortable selection Sunday.
Middle Tennessee 90 Florida Atlantic 59
The Blue Raiders didn't mess around with the Owls the way they did with FIU earlier in the week. MTSU probably has the best at-large resume of any of the non-majors, but in order to be one, they will have to take a bad loss
UL Lafayette 83 UT Arlington 81
The Mavericks now have four bad losses after going down to the Ragin' Cajuns. They are all on the road and in the league, but that is probably asking a lot for the committee to overlook. That is especially true since they only have two top 100 wins, and as I've said with Illinois State and Wichita State, that usually is not enough. They do have the best win of any potential non-major at-large team with a win at St. Mary's.
