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The No. 4 North Carolina Tar Heels (15-3) will host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (13-5) in an ACC showdown on Monday evening. This is the first matchup of the season between these two in-state rivals. The Tar Heels have dominated this series in recent years, winning seven of the last 10 meetings against the Demon Deacons.

Tip-off from Dean Smith Center in North Carolina is set for 7 p.m. ET. North Carolina leads the all-time series 23-14. The Tar Heels are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Wake Forest vs. North Carolina odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 158. Before making any North Carolina vs. Wake Forest picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 11 of the 2023-24 season on a 110-73 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $2,000 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 15-5 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Wake Forest vs. North Carolina. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest betting trends and lines for UNC vs. Wake Forest:

  • UNC vs. Wake Forest spread: North Carolina -7.5
  • UNC vs. Wake Forest over/under: 158 points 
  • UNC vs. Wake Forest money line: Tar Heels -357, Demon Deacons +276
  • UNC: The Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games
  • WAKE: Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against North Carolina 
  • UNC vs. Wake Forest picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why North Carolina can cover

Senior forward Armando Bacot is a force in the frontcourt. Bacot uses his bruising strength to create space in the paint for both rebounds and easy looks at the rim. The Virginia native has the footwork to score from the post with regularity. Bacot leads the ACC in rebounds (10.4) to go along with 14.6 points per game. On Jan. 13 against Syracuse, Bacot notched 16 points and 11 rebounds. 

Junior forward Harrison Ingram has the talent to be an all-around weapon. Ingram owns the ability to dribble the ball, rebound consistently, and knock down perimeter shots. The Texas native averages 12.4 points and 7.8 rebounds per game. He's finished with a double-double in two of his last three contests. In Saturday's win over Boston College, Ingram supplied 11 points and 13 rebounds. See who to back at SportsLine

Why Wake Forest can cover

Junior guard Hunter Sallis is a smooth and effortless ball handler. Sallis soars to the rack and finishes around the basket with no problem. The Nebraska native gets creative in the lane and excels in transition. Sallis ranks sixth in the ACC in scoring (17.7) to go along with 3.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. In his last outing, he racked up 19 points, five boards, and five assists.

Junior guard Cameron Hildreth has the skillset to be impactful in many different ways for the Demon Deacons. Hildreth can create his own shot and thrives in the pick-and-roll. The England native logs 15.3 points, 2.9 assists, and shoots 39% from downtown. On Jan. 9 against Florida State, Hildreth dropped 25 points, four boards, and made three 3-pointers. See who to back at SportsLine

How to make Wake Forest vs. North Carolina picks

The model has simulated this matchup 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the picks at SportsLine

So who wins UNC vs. Wake Forest, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 110-73 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.