The Air Force Falcons and the Utah State Aggies are set to square off in a 2022 Mountain West Tournament matchup at 4:30 p.m. ET on March 9 at the Thomas & Mack Center. Air Force is 11-17 while Utah State is 17-14. These teams split their regular-season series, with the home team winning on both occasions. 

The Aggies are favored by 14.5 points in the latest Utah State vs. Air Force odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 127. Before entering any Air Force vs. Utah State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. Air Force. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Utah State vs. Air Force:

  • Utah State vs. Air Force spread: Utah State -14.5
  • Utah State vs. Air Force over-under: 127 points
Featured Game | Utah State Aggies vs. Air Force Falcons

What you need to know about Utah State

Utah State has proven its ability to get hot this season, going on two separate winning streaks of at least five games. One of those hot streaks came in conference play and included a 73-46 blowout over Air Force. The Aggies closed the regular season with two wins in their final three games, beating San Jose State by 23 points on Friday. 

Senior forward Justin Bean has been one of the best players in the conference, averaging 17.8 points and 9.8 rebounds per game. Senior forward Brandon Horvath is also in double figures, averaging 13.7 points and 6.4 boards. The Aggies are 13-3 in their last 16 games in the month of March. 

What you need to know about Air Force

Air Force went through a lengthy rough patch from the end of January to the end of February, losing nine consecutive games. The Falcons were able to snap the skid in their regular-season finale, beating San Jose State last Tuesday. They have already knocked off Utah State once this season, recording a 49-47 win as 13.5-point home underdogs at the end of December. 

Senior guard A.J. Walker scored 12 of his 16 points in the second half of that win. Walker has been the team's best player this season, averaging 14.6 points per game. Freshman guard Jake Heidbreder is adding 10.3 points, while freshman guard Ethan Taylor is scoring 8.8 points. The Falcons have covered the spread in two of their three neutral-site games this season. 

How to make Utah State vs. Air Force picks

The model has simulated Utah State vs. Air Force 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Air Force vs. Utah State? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks.